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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

Move to Banter or Delete, but ...
Folks,
If you are in a place that looks like you will lose power for more than 48, you really, really might wanna close all windows and set the AC as low as it will go, and run it until the power goes out ... Personally been w/o air for up to 7 days, and doing that will dry you out ahead of time so you can sleep 4 days later ... just don't open the windows before power returns or you'll have 95% humidity in an instant ... After Jeanne, Frances, Hermine and Irma and I'll go back no further, this really is a life comfort ... and if you can still find them at Target or Lowes, battery operated fans are a real plus ...
Good luck, y'all!
Best,
Phil
 
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And actually more like stationary last hour since the NHC coordinates didn’t change 7PM to 8PM.

18Z HWRF similar to 12Z HWRF through SC but 18Z HMON further N than 12Z HMON.
Both make landfall just north of ILM.... all models show landfall ILM or just north with the exception of the Euro which doesn't quite make landfall
 
Still wobbling north of due west...
ec92622bff1a446681d512831c6cc2f0.jpg


Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
 
Did she make it to the magic number of 34 yet?
 
Tornado Warning
Tornado Warning
NCC195-140100-
/O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0006.180914T0033Z-180914T0100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
833 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southeastern Wilson County in central North Carolina...

* Until 900 PM EDT

* At 832 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
possible tornado was located 9 miles southeast of Wilson, or 11
miles west of Farmville, moving southwest at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
 
Not sure if this was already posted but the WPC precipitation forecasts are concerning for the HWY 74 corridor from Charlotte & points eastward. Still a chance for this to shift around some but 12-18" may be the standard for whoever gets underneath the most persistent banding.

View attachment 6370
Look at that classic wake gradient
 
806
WTNT61 KNHC 140056 CCA
TCUAT1

Hurricane Florence Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
900 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018

...900 PM POSITION UPDATE...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS THE CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA AREA...

A NOAA observing site at Cape Lookout, North Carolina, recently
reported a sustained wind of 83 mph (133 km/h) and a gust to
106 mph (170 km/h). A private weather station in Davis, North
Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 75 mph (120 km/h)
and a wind gust of 92 mph (148 km/h). A Weatherflow station at Fort
Macon, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 70 mph
(113 km/h) and a wind gust of 105 mph (169 km/h).

Water levels continue to rise quickly on the western side of
Pamlico Sound. A gauge at Oriental, North Carolina, on the Neuse
River is recording a water height of about 5.5 feet above normal
levels.


SUMMARY OF 900 PM EDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.0N 76.6W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM E OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Beven
 
The one thing that really worries me with this storm is where the rain will be falling inland, during Matthew, which produced catastrophic flooding in my neck of the woods, we mostly had in-situ 12"+ totals, now there's gonna be a ton of extra water falling upstream in the river basins that wasn't there in Matthew plus in-situ amounts here may be higher. Lumberton is so screwed.
 
The one thing that really worries me with this storm is where the rain will be falling inland, during Matthew, which produced catastrophic flooding in my neck of the woods, we mostly had in-situ 12"+ totals, now there's gonna be a ton of extra water falling upstream in the river basins that wasn't there in Matthew plus in-situ amounts here may be higher. Lumberton is so screwed.
Webb, ------ ... You and everyone else stay safe ...
 
Joe Bastardi will be on Hannity at 9:35. I’m sure he will be tooting his own horn but there’s no denying he nailed this one over a week ago and on top of that jumped all over the Euro when it started to show the coastal crawler. He looks like a pretty smart guy right now
 
Joe Bastardi will be on Hannity at 9:35. I’m sure he will be tooting his own horn but there’s no denying he nailed this one over a week ago and on top of that jumped all over the Euro when it started to show the coastal crawler. He looks like a pretty smart guy right now
Let’s see how he looks when winter is over!
 
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