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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

Old Glory is shredded but mosty intact at the Frying Pan. All 50 stars are accounted for; however, a few of the 13 stripes are not.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Being so close to land would tend to limit its ability to strengthen correct ?
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It's slowed so much and still a decent clip off the shelf and shallower water and in the Gulf Stream it's gonna have a chance to feed for however long it remains in place roughly could see pressure drops here soon from the Recon plans how much is question
 
Per radar and satellites, I think she drifted almost straight north (NNW?) since ~3:30 PM though this may just be a wobble. Anyone else see this?
 
18z Nam is east of its 12z output at hr 33.
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Guess NWS is going with the Euro for guidance!! Look at all the Flood watches in NC/SC, from the mountains to the coast! Euro has been giving the higher totals to Upstate and WNC!
 
GaWx said:
Per radar and satellites, I think she drifted almost straight north (NNW?) since ~3:30 PM though this may just be a wobble. Anyone else see this?
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Looked like it did or did a loop but now ot appears slowly moving west again
 
I will say the NAM has this current crawl wobble motion but then actually starts moving again in a wnw direction to bring lf just north ILM....
 
Actual track since 11 AM EDT:
11 AM 33.4, 75.5
Noon 33.5, 75.7
1 PM 33.6 75.9
2 PM 33.6 76.0
3 PM 33.6 76.1
4 PM 33.7 76.1

NHC Projected for 8 PM: 33.9 76.6
NHC Projected for 8 AM: 34.2 77.8

It looks like at 8 PM it should be close to 33.9 N but 76.6 will be tough. So, it will most likely verify east of the 8 PM projection.
 
well, she looks to be closer to 34N or a shade below that, but also appears to be drifting/joggin north

I think she is just doing some loops out there right now
 
down to 100 and a TS warning for Charleston

...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS GETTING CLOSER TO THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER
BANKS AND COASTAL SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL EXPECTED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 76.2W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from south of South Santee
River to Edisto Beach, South Carolina.
 
Interesting to see if it continues to show growing convection in cloud tops and drops in pressure in next few hours to see if it gets below 950
 
Tropical Storm Warning now in effect for Wake.
 
metwannabe said:
Y'all get all the fun.... side note these little showers are full on tropical downpours, moving 40 mph, rained for about 3 minutes picked up .28
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You were right earlier, the 3K NAM was much farther north. The ICON looks about the same as the last run to me. I didn't do the side by sides, but it basically looked the same. Waiting on the RGEM.
 
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