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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

I still think more than the 4 NW counties will be impacted, but DadofJax took a lot of undeserved crap yesterday, and it's turning out his prediction was quite accurate.
 
14z hrrr is still on fire . Pushes the freezing line way NW
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Here in the Florence/Shoals area of NW AL we've been in a dry slot all morning watching returns go to our S.. E.. and West. Since this would most probably be freezing rain if it hit us (I'm at 28°)... I'm good with that
 
THe f
14z hrrr is still on fire . Pushes the freezing line way NW
93b71869802cc343d8e32de4625cd4e8.jpg



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The freezing line may get that far northwest, but the temps on the other side, at least for N AL, are likely way off. I've been checking on HRRR predictions vs. verification and they have been too high for most of the past 12 hours for my location.
 
THe f

The freezing line may get that far northwest, but the temps on the other side, at least for N AL, are likely way off. I've been checking on HRRR predictions vs. verification and they have been too high for most of the past 12 hours for my location.

The problem is the low is going to end up further north through SE Alabama . I’m not saying it’s gonna be 44 but the trend on all guidance is warmer in general


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its funny, almost immediately after my last post about the wind, the winds veered around to the west and have been W to NW since. Temp starting to drop a bit now as well.
 
Im very interested to see how much moisture is left on the NW side after the SLP tracts across SE AL....this will be the biggest time for concern, as the SLP will be well formed and really pulling the cold air in from the NW. It may be a case, as we have seen in the past, where NE AL had some left over moisture to work with. My interest has peeked some for areas outside of the current watch/warning/advisory areas.
 
Either way, this is going to bust pretty big for AL....but its a good thing, because it could have been nasty.
Seems like we are largely going to bust here in Franklin, TN as well. Pretty common theme for this area. We've had no precip since the sleet last night, might still squeeze out an inch or two if it is snow when it gets here.
 
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