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Pattern July

HRRR has widespread storms today and very solid instability. Roughly 4K CAPE and PWAT of 2”+ and DCAPE of 800+. Should be an active day and I imagine wind damage could be an issue in some of the stronger cells. It also looks like storm movement will be slow so some street and flash flooding could occur in some of the heavy and slow moving cells.

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Not even 10am and lightning like crazy in Statesville
 
Mid level cloud deck went bye bye and temps went through the roof 89/76

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SD said:
Mid level cloud deck went bye bye and temps went through the roof 89/76

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Yeah it's miserable outside, hope those mid and upper 70 oppressive DP's help yield some healing skies soon

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metwannabe said:
Yeah it's miserable outside, hope those mid and upper 70 oppressive DP's help yield some healing skies soon

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Same here. There looks to be a pretty well defined surface trough along or just west of US1 and the last frame on the satellite shows some CU going up there. If convection starts there it should have a tendency to move slowly E or ESE so that could work well for us

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SoutheastRidge said:
That seems a little high. Most of the reporting stations I see are only in the mid 90s.
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Tell that to my thermometer. Two days ago was similarly hotter but yesterday was cooler. Right now it largely depends on cloudcover variations and nearby cooling convection. Actually, I hear thunder. So, my high may have already been reached at 99.3. As of 1:25, I’m already down to 97.3.
Edit: down to 96.9 at 1:28.
Edit: touched 99.3 again at 1:36 before quickly falling back as the wind swirls to 97.8 at 1:38. So, there’s a battle between the sun’s near peak of the day location and convection locates not too many miles to the north. Fun to watch.
 
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SD said:
Same here. There looks to be a pretty well defined surface trough along or just west of US1 and the last frame on the satellite shows some CU going up there. If convection starts there it should have a tendency to move slowly E or ESE so that could work well for us

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Convection firing everywhere...

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GaWx said:
Tell that to my thermometer. Two days ago was similarly hotter but yesterday was cooler. Right now it largely depends on cloudcover variations and nearby cooling convection. Actually, I hear thunder. So, my high may have already been reached at 99.3. As of 1:25, I’m already down to 97.3.
Edit: down to 96.9 at 1:28.
Edit: touched 99.3 again at 1:36 before quickly falling back as the wind swirls to 97.8 at 1:38. So, there’s a battle between the sun’s near peak of the day location and convection locates not too many miles to the north. Fun to watch.
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New high of day with a quick spike to 100.2 at 2:05 here as the convection just a few miles north doesn’t get closer and weakens. Then it quickly fell back a degree. It really is fascinating watching the thermometer on a mostly sunny afternoon as you realize that the temp tends to spike up and down within about a 2-3 degree envelope. That envelope itself warms and cools depending on the general conditions and time of day.

Meanwhile, KSAV was only 97 at 2PM with a thunderstorm on its doorstep. So, 97 may end up as its high.
At 2:14, I’m back down to 98.6 but then back up to 99.5 at 2:16. With the nearby convection, including debris cirrostratus, and regardless of whether I actually get a drop of rain, there’s a good chance that 100.2 ends up as my high.

Edit: Spiked down to 96.2 at 2:42 before spiking back above 98. Despite mostly sunny and the nearby convection having fallen apart, we probably now have a seabreeze thus cooling the 3 or so degree envelope enough to mean my 2:05 high of 100.2 should be the day’s high.
 
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Starting to get that I'm going to miss out feeling

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SD said:
Starting to get that I'm going to miss out feeling

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We are. The air sink anomaly has set up camp in our area. See?Screenshot_20190704-144417_Gallery.jpg
 
Rain Cold said:
We are. The air sink anomaly has set up camp in our area. See?View attachment 20768
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Oh I see it
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Seriously, is there a cap over the US1 corridor? On every side, storms fire and build into real storms. In this area, they fizzle out almost immediately after forming.
 
Rain Cold said:
Seriously, is there a cap over the US1 corridor? On every side, storms fire and build into real storms. In this area, they fizzle out almost immediately after forming.
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Same here, had some try to get going, couple rumbles of thunder even hid the sun for a bit, knocked temp down to 90. Fizzled within minutes, sun back out temp up to 96


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Rain Cold said:
Seriously, is there a cap over the US1 corridor? On every side, storms fire and build into real storms. In this area, they fizzle out almost immediately after forming.
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Nah its the new normal along with summer highs near 100. Rich get richer...all that jazz
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Rain Cold said:
Seriously, is there a cap over the US1 corridor? On every side, storms fire and build into real storms. In this area, they fizzle out almost immediately after forming.
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Same here. Sounds like Durham got hit hard. But all the storms seem to die out or go around Wake somehow. It's clouding up here, so maybe a storm will roll through soon.
 
SD said:
Yeah hope it works out.... the storm to my west has been slowly growing this way

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Yeah you're in a good spot

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Brick Tamland said:
Same here. Sounds like Durham got hit hard. But all the storms seem to die out or go around Wake somehow. It's clouding up here, so maybe a storm will roll through soon.
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Storm just firing up right downwind from me. Getting the outflow. Had one sprinkle and hearing lots of thunder.
 
SD said:
I don't understand. Sick joke

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Do you hear any thunder? It's raining moderately here, finally.
 
Rain Cold said:
Do you hear any thunder? It's raining moderately here, finally.
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It the thunder don't get ya then the lightin' will ...
Small wheel turns by the fire and rod,
Big wheel turns by the grace of God,
And every time that wheel turns 'round
You're bound to cover just a little more ground ...
;)
 
GaWx said:
New high of day with a quick spike to 100.2 at 2:05 here as the convection just a few miles north doesn’t get closer and weakens. Then it quickly fell back a degree. It really is fascinating watching the thermometer on a mostly sunny afternoon as you realize that the temp tends to spike up and down within about a 2-3 degree envelope. That envelope itself warms and cools depending on the general conditions and time of day.

Meanwhile, KSAV was only 97 at 2PM with a thunderstorm on its doorstep. So, 97 may end up as its high.
At 2:14, I’m back down to 98.6 but then back up to 99.5 at 2:16. With the nearby convection, including debris cirrostratus, and regardless of whether I actually get a drop of rain, there’s a good chance that 100.2 ends up as my high.

Edit: Spiked down to 96.2 at 2:42 before spiking back above 98. Despite mostly sunny and the nearby convection having fallen apart, we probably now have a seabreeze thus cooling the 3 or so degree envelope enough to mean my 2:05 high of 100.2 should be the day’s high.
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Indeed, the 2:05 PM 100.2 will be my high as cirrostratus debris now covers much of the sky and the temp fell to 92.3 at 4PM. So, despite not one drop of rain due to it missing me by a few miles to the north, I’ve still benefited with cooling. Meanwhile, KSAV has been getting pretty heavy rain in a thunderstorm and had dropped all the way to 83 at 4PM. Hunter dropped to 91. A fun day to follow the wx and learn from it.
 
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