Pattern Jarring January

[SCweather]

What are the final amounts for CAE?

Not a lot. Important thing is for now is that we have a similar look.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Glad to see the Euro held it's ground.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Hard not to get excited with the Euro and GFS both showing a good storm with similar totals.

 

[packfan98]

Here's the 12z Kuchera map. The one I posted a minute ago was the 0z by mistake.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Looks like the totals went down some on the Euro. Still a good 3 to 4 here.

 

[Parker]

Okay, I’m all in. Time to reel another one in!

 

[Brick Tamland]

Ignore. Would have been 6-8" like the GFS depicted.

Nice! Glad to hear that. Good feeling with them showing the same things.

 

[mrdaddyman]

Ignore. Would have been 6-8" like the GFS depicted.

Euro is further West than the GFS with the axis of heaviest snow. You talk as though it should be further East which would benefit central NC more. Which one looks more likely in this type of scenario?

 

[SCweather]

We have to find some way to shake this warm nose off in Central South Carolina.

 

[Kylo]

February 6 1984 is a potential analog

 

[Brick Tamland]

Should be a widespread area of moderate to heavy snow with that H5 solution, like the GFS depicted. We'll see if the EPS doesn't tick up again for much of the state.

Yeah, I was going to say the GFS just seemed to have a wider area covered with the higher totals.

 

[Rain Cold]

If the EPS goes up across the board, it's a good sign the more widespread solution is correct.

The current Euro map is already correct. It has me at under an inch in the armpit of the county.

 

[GaWx]

If the EPS goes up across the board, it's a good sign the more widespread solution is correct.

The 12Z EPS definitely is up across the board vs the 0Z EPS. I'm sure Storm5 will be posting images soon.

 

[whatalife]

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[Storm5]

Yep eps looks great best looking eps mean this winter for my area

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[ForsythSnow]

40 of those frames have snow here, and it's the correct time frame as well! I'm going to jump aboard this train, but I have a fear that those models with a sharp cutoff around here is a possibility. Those warm noses are pains.

 

[Storm5]

40 of those frames have snow here, and it's the correct time frame as well! I'm going to jump aboard this train, but I have a fear that those models with a sharp cutoff around here is a possibility. Those warm noses are pains.

No . We need you off the train it's bringing good luck . Keep taking about dry air until Monday please

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[ForsythSnow]

No . We need you off the train it's bringing good luck . Keep taking about dry air until Monday please

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LOL but I don't want to be in a snow hole. If you want bad talk, then it's going to be too dry and it's going to disintegrate. There will be no storm.

 

[Nomanslandva]

Hope the EPS is not fake news like the last time is sucked me in....

 

[Webberweather53]

Lol RDU is on the SE side of the EPS at day 5, we know how this story usually ends...