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Pattern Januworry

Tarheelwx said:
For what it’s worth and not complaining, here on Greensboro we have 6” for the season with an 8” average. So yes, we’re doing well, but not exactly hitting it out of the park. If we got nothing else, it would be a bit disappointing. The best part is that the 2 last storms were very cold with temps generally in low/mid 20s.
TW
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Not trying to single you out but just using this post as an example as I see so many people showing what their old seasonal snowfall averages use to be. The truth is most of us out of elevation even in the far northern parts of the south are averaging around 6 inches snowfall. Nashville just updated theirs and it’s a sad 4.7 inches a year. For my exact area it’s probably between 6-7 inches and that’s due to almost 1,000 feet of elevation and 20 minutes south of Kentucky. I’m not sure how correct this is but I pulled this up for your area and looks like your are already above your seasonal averag snowfall. 3906D022-6E37-48D4-B4A4-CA27AECB4144.jpeg
Edit: This total may not be exact as I checked mine and it’s using Nashville‘s totals. I noticed this happens a lot as my town is so small that they use Nashville’s climate which is a mistake because of micro climates and what not.
 
Same positive trend here on the EPS at day 5

HQfCGLM.gif
 
olhausen said:
Not trying to single you out but just using this post as an example as I see so many people showing what their old seasonal snowfall averages use to be. The truth is most of us out of elevation even in the far northern parts of the south are averaging around 6 inches snowfall. Nashville just updated theirs and it’s a sad 4.7 inches a year. For my exact area it’s probably between 6-7 inches and that’s due to almost 1,000 feet of elevation and 20 minutes south of Kentucky. I’m not sure how correct this is but I pulled this up for your area and looks like your are already above your seasonal averag snowfall. View attachment 109759
Edit: This total may not be exact as I checked mine and it’s using Nashville‘s totals. I noticed this happens a lot as my town is so small that they use Nashville’s climate which is a mistake because of micro climates and what not.
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NOAA has us (GSO which is 5 miles away) at 7.1, down from 8.7. Not sure where the 4.9 is coming from, but that isn’t accurate as far as a seasonal norm. TW
 
This memorable/great week of SE wx (easily the best in 4+ years in terms of general cold for all and wintry for many including TWO significant events for many just 5 days apart) was (largely) brought to you by the combo of +PNA and MJO inside circle and despite no -AO or -NAO:

1. +PNA:

pna.sprd2.gif


2. MJO inside circle: (SE has tended to be colder on average, especially in January, when MJO inside rather than outside especially left side):rmm.phase.Last40days.gif


It was done without the help of -AO, -NAO, or -EPO (EPO has been neutral overall):

ao.sprd2.gif

nao.sprd2.gif
 
Parker said:
Models have definitely been locking in on a potential monster storm. Hope it keeps trending well and bombs a little further west. Anybody got the maps for areas further west? I'm on the wife's phone
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Looks like a good snow for us in Alabama. 2-3 inches in central and north alabama, but of course it's global models. So when mesoscale ones come around it'll probably be more if this event holds
 
Interesting this is there hasn’t been a ton of weenie runs from the GFS this winter. There have been a couple especially the one that had 50 inches in CLT. But there hasn’t been 2 weenie runs in a row all winter. Would like to see other models latch on but I’m interesting!


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This would be the storm for the ages. Basically Jan 2000,but on storoids. Everyone from the Central/Western Pidemount areas all the way to the coast would experience blizzard conditions at some point. Really,I have never seen anything like this that far south,so I give it almost no chance of this happening,though it would be really cool to see.
snku_acc.us_ma (2).png
 
Faco Thomas said:
This would be the storm for the ages. Basically Jan 2000,but on storoids. Everyone from the Central/Western Pidemount areas all the way to the coast would experience blizzard conditions at some point. Really,I have never seen anything like this that far south,so I give it almost no chance of this happening,though it would be really cool to see.
View attachment 109778
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If and obviously it’s a big if, a storm like the GFS is showing or something kinda close to it were to materialize, there would likely be widespread Blizzard Warnings for most of NC/SC west of I-95
 
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