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Pattern Januworry

What does “in the thick of it” mean? Are you saying it’s better to have a storm up to 80-120 or 180-240?


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80-120. Better to have the pattern in the long range. After the pattern established you want to get the players on the field in the medium range which is what we have right now. High pressure sliding out of Canada ahead of a SW. It's pretty strong and slides east to really lock in the cold air. You want to start seeing a storm materialize usually around day 5 or 6 and start showing up on globals and then let the short range models take it from there. This look is a textbook look for the southeast to get some kind of winter storm.
 
D3C9A675-9ACD-4980-A8BC-63000CFD346F.jpegCurrent situation in Holland, MI. Probably the heaviest snow I’ve seen. 23 degrees too. Trying to make it to our rental home. All the roads are coveredEEB572ED-8942-440E-9619-390862EB7AA6.jpeg
 

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Wow!
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Ice storm on the GFS but I actually think a lot more of the frontend stuff is snow before a quick switch over to either sleet or ZR for a good portion of NC and the upstate.
What would it take to be all snow. Why is it so difficult.
 
It would be fantastic rates as temps hover in the low to mid 20's for most of the storm. But if it does end up as freezing rain you can bet your bottom dollar it will freeze at those temperatures.
 
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