I'm not surprised at all. Our lows have been near average while we have been spiking above average for highs on many days, especially during early January. I think we end about average overall. I also think that the rest of January is a North Carolina winter. I don't see much hope for Atlanta and south, though I'm hoping Savannah gets some sleet and snow this weekend! Most of that storm will be east of me, I think.
It was those damn near or record breaking temps the first few days of the month.
It was about to go big there at the end. A winter to remember maybe
I’m not suprised by this… keep in mind that the first 3 days of the month were still at the end of that late December pattern… my temperature was above 60 until about 6am on the morning of the 3rd. Then after that we were mostly close to average until this last few days. I expect after the next week, those yellows over the Carolinas will start to be replaced by some blues
Its good you and some are getting winter weather. You deserve it.
I remember when I said “it would be cool if we had a year where every Wednesday or so we have a winter weather event to track” well we’re on our way to two one last weekend one this upcoming weekend and then now maybe another mid next week? Good lord. This could be a benchmark stellar winter after this pattern
Euro control said hold my beer
Pushing into Mexico but still above ATL! ?
That's interesting 2/12 is near the peak of snow climo for the SE considering that almost immediately after this date snow climo falls off pretty dramatically. It's been over a decade since ATL had snow past 2/12.
Do you think that's because the later in winter you go the better chances of having a BIG snowstorm compared to more numerous smaller snowstorms earlier in the winter ? Wouldn't you say there's more snow events on average in January but maybe more bigger snow events in mid to late February ?
There’s signs of a pattern change heading into February . Bring it I say .
Aleutian island ridging and a cold Alaska have been shown consistently on models for a while now as we approach end of the month. Not too mention the PNA drifting down. I’ll stand by what I say , this pattern is going to change as we head into February . Euro weeklies , how did they do with the last pattern change ?
Larry,
I don’t do specific predictions . Just saying the 500mb pattern is going to change once more . Predicting how warm or cold is silly . All I’m saying is what we are seeing now is going to change , good chance to something that does favor warm.
I'll play what are we predicting
Of course towards the end of Feb averages are much higher than now so it could be well below normal by then and not be terribly cold.
However, since you do specific predictions are you suggesting you predict the pattern of storm chance after chance and cold wave after wave to continue into mid feb ? How below average ? Like I said I don’t do those . Guaranteed to be wrong
