Avalanche
Member
It def needs a sequel!!
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
CMC was a near miss for the Friday night into Saturday system but then after has this 
Lots of suppressed members but some storms showing up 
Almost every single GEFS member had some sort of winter precip scenario (light and heavy) at our storm time this weekend .. sheesh
Gefs has multiple waves of overrunning in some members 
Right where we want it ?
I think it’s getting close to time for a ?
packfan98
Moderator
Done! Do you mind posting some maps over there to get it started?
Wintry - 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
Here’s our next opportunity. Let’s reel in a snowstorm!
southernwx.com
packfan98
Moderator
Post it in the new thread for this threat. It's sure looking promising!
https://southernwx.com/community/threads/1-20-1-21-winter-storm-potential.1035/
Based on GEFS, it has the western ridge retrograde west, it does not bring out the SER, but the really cold pattern may moderate end of the month. Who knows if it rebuilds or not. I suspect we will have 2 more opportunities for wintry weather before the moderation, let’s hope we score.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Well, if models are right, I have gotten what I wanted ...... a below normal January with a few good storm chances. If Feb is warm ..... so be it. I think most will be happy if we can get back-to-back events.
Almost comical at this point. This may be the greatest long lasting winter pattern I’ve ever seen.
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I think we might have that final wave over the west and the pattern might change again. Ridge starting to breakdown off the coast.....It could still be really good though if we go wall to wall cold.
RAH buys the late week chill
Mr. Golf
Member
If we can keep the mjo out of the warm phases, we will continue this well into February imo.Almost comical at this point. This may be the greatest long lasting winter pattern I’ve ever seen.
It looks to me like they just copied the charts from January 1988 on that one
In retrospect, it has been hinting at this incredible cold and wintry pattern!
More from 18Z GFS on this epic fantasy:
This doesn’t even include the ice well beneath it!
Mr. Golf
Member
Larry, I believe if the mjo can stay out of warm phases, we should remain cold into February. Currently, we have more like an niño atmosphere with convection around dateline from what I understand
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Storms keep coming
Epic cold SE HH GFS means tossing not an option! Maybe 1984-5 not so crazy an analog from the chilly Nov to mild Dec to frigid Jan along with similar ENSO. Also, the similar ENSO 1933-4 and 1971-2 both had a frigid shot mid to late month with single digits ATL and RDU. Both of those had a cold Feb with a near boardwide type of winter storm in Feb of 1934 and Feb of 1972 was very icy, esp in main CAD region:
I want to keep that Iowa High 1042 is a lovers dream.
I can see this entering the two weeks in February. Sfc low is a perfect track for everyone.
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This board is exhausting. This pattern needs to break or it’s going to break me. That’s an amazing look there on the extended GFS
GeorgiaGirl
Member
If the GFS verifies, that would make for an epic January.
pcbjr
Member
wow
Hard to even know what to say. When is the last time we've seen this kind of pattern? I'm serious, I can't recall. Hopefully, it moves forward.wow
wow
I’ve never seen the 540 that far south before almost from corner to corner.
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Absurd
I don't know if anyone knows where to find this, but could somebody post the daily highs/lows for Baton Rouge for the 18Z GFS? That run is seriously crazy cold. Wow.
whatalife
Moderator
I don’t post much here or the other board anymore but I can say I don’t remember seeing anything like this. And I’ve been on these boards a long time. Lol!
Hope you’re doing well!
Good to hear from you, my friend. All is well here. Post away man. And I don't remember seeing anything like this either, not for the duration being forecasted anyway.
We're going to be burning the midnight oil over the next couple of weeks.
pcbjr
Member
Larry,
That +PNA is the chicken wire and duct tape holding this whole thing together ... just gotta hope the frail ol' southern "fix" holds ...
Phil