I tried conveying that we were very close to a much bigger deal and that these set ups can change by small tweaks in model runs .. we’re usually never on the good side of trends but we’ve clearly been heading in the right direction today
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
This gefs run looks a little worse imo
Yea here it is.
CMC says let’s go! 
Not terrible for a wake special in NC
This is really going to turn into a NAM watch type of storm dynamics are going to play a huge part here for some
GFS took a nod towards the EPS wrt to the pattern change
That Canadian model has my attention.
?
Brent
Member
Not here. Back above normal Monday through Wednesday at least. Maybe another big front after that
Eh not great not terrible this can easily change slightly and those higher heights can move back East off the west coast .. better than that massive upper level low just spinning over California killing every chance we ever have but still bleh let’s just cash in on this first system lmao
NCSNOW
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Look hard and youll see pink Halifax County. Metwannabe speacil
LovingGulfLows
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Surprised that isn't snow in GA on the CMC. 2m Temps are at or near freezing along with sub-freezing 850mb layer.
Stephenb888
Member
I could be wrong but I don’t think this has any chance of being an I20 storm.
It's real close. The precip pulls away just as surface temps get close to freezing. Real close, and verbatim it wouldn't be at surprising to see the favored N&NW burbs get a car topper.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Somebody post the Euro snow map when it comes out in a bit! I’m up! Please
Webberweather53
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This entire thread is probably going to age like spoiled milk
Tarheel1
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60+ degree gradient across Missouri on Saturday! Just crazy
Six Mile Wx
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The Euro continues to whiff in the medium range
Ole goofy ticked a little SE at 6z. Trying to give I-40 some wet snow. Interesting trend hopefully they hold today but I've seen this dance before so low expectations.
The changes in the NPAC on the gefs/eps is cringeworthy
Yea I highly doubt it also. But we can always dream.
Tarheelwx
Member
Quite the storm at the end of the 6z gfs.
TW
TW
I like the direction this is going, only thing keeping me grounded in skepticism is the Euro, but maybe it’s one of those odd scenarios where short range mesoscale models give us a clearer signal. Or we could be famously getting NAM’d/RGEM’d could go either way still.?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
About the coldest pattern you could ask for in N America
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The models have been a little extra atrocious lately outside the medium range.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Winner! ? 6z GFS op run?
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LickWx
Member
Nobody knows the hour or even the model . Dude you regressed so hard . We showed you !
Here is the 6z euro 
Pretty small differences in the cmc gfs make a big difference in how many people have a chance at at least mixing in or ending as some flakes. If I lived in Northern Ms, most of tn, the northern 1/4th of Bama, far north GA, the nc mountains, and the nc border counties with VA I'd be a little excited for the possibility of seeing something though it might be fairly minor.
Depending on how the 12z look I might go ahead and start a thread for the weekend snow potential looks like there might be enough there especially for the western and Northern sections of the region to do so
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Oooooof
Looks like ice/sleet for Atlanta with this look