Pattern Januworry

[LukeBarrette]

Anyone notice how much different ICON and GFS are after the clearance of this system??? Icon much more cold press

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Torches as they come towards verification. View attachment 99111

I think the 7 day torch about to begin is verifying pretty well..

 

[deltadog03]

There likely will be with a pattern like this. I’m just wondering when or if it’ll get all the way here.

I still feel like if and when we get cold.....it might be wall to wall cold including you. I could see some PAC NW sliders coming down and rounding the southern 4 corners and into the southern plains.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That is a beautiful jet extension

 

[Webberweather53]

That is a beautiful jet extension View attachment 99127View attachment 99128

Beautiful to see a trough cutting underneath the block over the Aleutians. Should favor more +PNA and cold sliding east thereafter. This is happening a little slower than I thought it would have, but good to see early-mid January is looking increasingly favorable on NWP

 

[Avalanche]

I think the 7 day torch about to begin is verifying pretty well..

Spring, tropical feeling.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

a somewhat interesting look if this kept going

 

[Avalanche]

Not a somewhat interesting look if this kept going View attachment 99129

Energy in the sw ejecting out with a cold press.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Need some more of this on the GFS otherwise the cutoff and trough will just phase out west

 

[Myfrotho704_]

?️️

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Indice-wise, nothing of significance has changed from when the models were showing a torch for early January (if anything, the GFS ensembles are now projecting a full fledged +NAO).

Not to say we won't see a transient cool down like last weekend, but I'm still not convinced that they're not pulling another okie-doke with respect to a large scale pattern change.

We'll see...

 

[Avalanche]

Indice-wise, nothing of significance has changed from when the models were showing a torch for early January (if anything, the GFS ensembles now projecting a full fledged +NAO).

Not to say we won't see a transient cool down like last weekend, but I'm still not convinced that they're not pulling another okie-doke with respect to a large scale pattern change.

We'll see...

And the beat goes on...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GFS builds a ridge bridge, and raise heights on top of AK but keeps the Aleutian ridge strong which is problematic

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like we’re still gonna evacuate the Aleutian ridge out of here, poleward, it’s just a slower version of the euro, once that’s out of here flow can speed up

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Just like the EPS ! This should progress well, central US is def gonna probably do better first which is typical for phase 7

 

[Webberweather53]

Overall pattern is going the way we want it to towards the later part of the first week of January into the 2nd week. All you can ask for or should care about this far out, not worth worrying about any details yet til we get close to the medium range (day 7 ish). Will likely see a few storms get handed off to our north initially because the snow cover is still pretty anemic atm east of the Rockies.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Why does the UK have a nighttime warm front tornado setup across GA/SC/NC

 

[SD]

Holy chit

 

[whatalife]

Holy chit View attachment 99143

Yep that’ll work

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Beautiful ridge north of Alaska, very feb 2014 esque