Pattern Januworry

[Mitch West]

What i am interested in, is we are seeing a cold front at least briefly beating down the ridge at day 11-12. I wonder if the Euro is going to show the same once we get this "trend" inside day 10.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Could someone describe what’s causing those above normal 850s in the middle of the US?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Could someone describe what’s causing those above normal 850s in the middle of the US? View attachment 98967

This low

 

[GaWx]

Euro weeklies today vs Mon run:
- Early January warmer but we already knew that per EPS runs
- Mid January warmer
- Late Jan colder
- Coldest days 1/10-11 and 1/24-30
- Warmest days 12/24-1/1

 

[GaWx]

@NCHighCountryWX have you seen BAMWx updates the last two days?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS looks decent for the upper SE

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wudge, some noise in the upper SE as well

 

[weatherfide]

This low
View attachment 98968

Creating a down-sloping wind that compresses the lower atmosphere. Also, the altitude up there in the high plains are already close to the 850 mb level.

 

[Mr. Golf]

We definitely could use a pattern shakeup if we could get it. Definitely dont want to get shutout all winter. There will be cool downs behind fronts, but for something more impressive, long ways to go

 

[Deleted member 1449]

Could someone describe what’s causing those above normal 850s in the middle of the US? View attachment 98967

Chinook winds!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Not a fan of more interaction between the TPV/energy coming out of can

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This still might try to bleed its way east

 

[StormWatch]

What i am interested in, is we are seeing a cold front at least briefly beating down the ridge at day 11-12. I wonder if the Euro is going to show the same once we get this "trend" inside day 10.

That cold front that's been showing up during that time period likely wouldn't be the pattern changer. I bet another high kicks out behind the front keeping the ridge in place.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It would be cool if this maybe decided to shift south a tiny bit or we raise heights out west to push this thing SE just a tiny bit ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

It would be cool if this maybe decided to shift south a tiny bit or we raise heights out west to push this thing SE just a tiny bit ? View attachment 98991View attachment 98992

Need that piece of energy coming into Seattle weaker but interesting to note the Gfs got rid of the upper low off the south west coast from previous runs

 

[Myfrotho704_]

In other news, here we go again…

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

It’s making baby steps .. be quiet guys we don’t want to scare her away

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This GFS run is instead choosing violence as in wedges

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s making baby steps .. be quiet guys we don’t want to scare her away View attachment 98996

Looks more like we’re trending to a severe weather outbreak with that gif then anything else

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This run isn’t going for cold but instead severe weather almost every day lol, here comes another shortwave trough entering the southern plains, pretty nightmarish pattern lol