Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

[WXinCanton]

12Z GFS for KATL

 

[mydoortotheworld]

This thing looks dead on arrival for GA outside of far northwest GA. Decent hit for northern AL but the dryer look on GFS is something to watch. Probably we saw this coming.
If GEFS also decreases totals I’ll be much more concerned, but 06z is keeping me optimistic for now

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[RollTide18]

Seems like the GFS and FV3 are seesawing back and forth between totals

 

[cyclogent]

Probably banter but the ICON's warm bias is clearly non-existent on the 12z lol. Crazy cold at hour 120 behind our system of interest.

 

[WxWatch]

Atlanta snowfall showing steady decrease over the last couple runs. Will have to see if the trend continues with less precip, and/or temps not arriving in time.

I doubt ATL will get that much, maybe a dusting up to 1/2" if lucky.

 

[Stormlover]

I'll take that Canadian anytime

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hour 102

 

[Parker]

Hour 102 View attachment 13222

Wow!! That’s a crazy GEFS run at 102 hours !

 

[RobertRath]

I'll take that Canadian anytime
View attachment 13220

Would be considered a very good hit for N AL imo, especially since it’s been a few years since we’ve seen a decent storm.

 

[Weatherlover92]

Hour 102 View attachment 13222

Holding fairly steady to 6z.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

End result, better run for much of the Board, west and east of the apps

 

[Weatherlover92]

Still a lot of members with some nice widespread snowfall accumulations.

 

[STORM6]

Hope these trends hold, seems the best the models have overall agreed in a long time. Euro stay the course.

 

[Philstorm91]

Hr 102 Fv3 doesn't make sense. How is precip changing back to rain in north LA and central MS?

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[packfan98]

End result, better run for much of the Board, west and east of the appsView attachment 13224

Your map is picking up on a future storm by hr 168. Back it up to about 132-138 for a more accurate total for the frontal passage system.

 

[RollTide18]

 

[Arcc]

Three possible events in three or four days on the FV3. Not bad.

 

[Stormlover]

not bad Montgomery ;-)

 

[Myfrotho704_]

More accurate depiction

 

[Arcc]

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