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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

Kylo said:
Doesn’t appear so, looks like cold chasing moisture there and in central NC.
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I know 540 is not gospel, but it’s running E of CAE , up to E of RAH, with some heavy stuff around I-77
 
Tarheel1 said:
I know 540 is not gospel, but it’s running E of CAE , up to E of RAH, with some heavy stuff around I-77
Click to expand...

I don’t have access to them if they exist, but it would be interesting to see what the UKMET shows in terms of 2m temps for the SE...Might give a better idea.

Also seemed to be a little bit more robust with moisture based on what @Kylo shared with us.
 
From FFC AFD:

Both the GFS and Euro agree on the highest chances of
precip coming during the day on Tuesday, with precip falling behind
the cold front. The Euro hints at some snow flurries behind the line
of storms where the GFS is much more bullish with light snow
coverage with chances all the way down to central Georgia. Both then
clear out with high pressure settling in with a weak shortwave
moving through Wednesday night. the Euro keeps this wave dry while
the GFS hints at light snow flurries possible for far North Georgia.
The GFS-FV3 on the other hand, elongates the cold front, pushing it
through slowly on Wednesday. It`s much drier than the Euro and GFS,
but still has a strong signal that we could see so mixed/frozen
precip through the area on Wednesday instead, even into central
Georgia. The current forecast blends these 3 scenarios with each
having some consistency to their claims from the previous night.
Guidance has been putting a signal for some winter precip around
this time for the last several days with no clear indication on
which way Mother Nature will go. Seemed appropriate to include at
least a slight chance of each possibility. Although if you hold my
feet to the fire, I`d lean towards the Euro (front Tuesday, little
chance of frozen precip with higher temps and dry the next several
days afterwards).

Thiem
 
For this to really work out for the Carolina's, we really need another low to form and ride up and fill in more moisture because as mentioned before, this cold air chasing moisture crap ain't going to work. The mountains are beautiful and all but they screw people East of the mtns a lot. It's notorious for delaying the cold air. But the CAD sorta offsets all of that. Would seem like parts of central NC would be the highest chance in the Carolina's... Yes, good ole Raleigh.
 
DarkKnight said:
6z fv3
View attachment 12935
Click to expand...
fv3p_asnow_us_41.png

Gfs/fv3 picking up on second wave. Here's more added to your map.
 
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