accu35
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Maybe a fast mover, but 1-3 inch for me is gold
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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Is it at all possible that the cold air gets delayed a bit and this ends up being primarily a rain event? Or is the snow pretty much a lock at this point?
I doubt CAA will lack/lag for areas west of the apps, that is one strong artic cold front, areas east of the apps will have to worry about CAA, but anyways with the PV dropping like a anvil I doubt this would mainly be a rain event but crazy shifts has happened before
I doubt the cold will be delayed, because it's a true arctic blast. Some area's may start off as rain, but quickly changing to all snow.
Well good thing about tomorrow night 0z runs. We will be in the nam long range. One more model to check out on this potential.
Hour 102 on euro. Looks like we are going to get another hit from the euro.
Incoming!!!
I think this run will end up better for a lot of people.
The FV3 is a few changes from waxing someone in the 128-168hr range.
Closeup
RollTide18
Member
Holy, look at the QPF
Snowflowxxl
Member
Well then!
That’s what I am saying. I guess there so much energy in this system it just keeps it going?? Maybe??
Sure was, another trend like that and we have a Miller A on our hands.
The snow accumulation maps will probably look limited the further East.. into GA/SC/NC but now I'm officially excited to see what 12z brings!
juicy. Nice hit DK
Yea, I defitnely feel a lot better about this system bringing the goods for many.
LovingGulfLows
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ATL area(esp the western half) kinda gets screwed on this run. Cold air doesn't come in fast enough during the heaviest portion of the precip. Eastern areas actually fair better which is the opposite of what pretty much every other model has been showing. Curious what the EPS suite shows.
@pcbjr lookout
LovingGulfLows
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You can also see a low center forming in Upstate SC at hour 114. This is probably enhancing the precip to the west and delaying the cooler air for SC(They get screwed with temps badly). Big run for the Chattanooga and NE GA areas.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Well I guess Dr. No has spoken. I would had thought it would turn out better.
Actually makes sense considering how the trough looks.
It looks like the mountains squeezed out whatever remaining moisture there was left.
Winter Storm
Member
Someone explain the accumulated SNOW map around BHAM? Does not add up?
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Snowman63
Member
Great Euro run for Tennessee, N Miss, and N Alabama.
This will go back and forth some until the actual event. Even through the precip map says it is snow. It probably accumulated in the computer as rain. Plus at time stamp it has temps between 32-35 degrees so that might be also why it doesn’t show up as accumulated snow.
Easy. 6 hour QPF maps. Most of the precip has fallen by the time the temps support snow. The dominant precip type map must also be calibrated by the air temp at the time of the image which you can see by the rain/snow line following the temps. What a worthless confusing product.
Anyone else would like to chime in???
olhausen
Member
I’m not sure the last time I saw a euro run the basically plastered all of Tennessee with at least 3 inches of snow. Very good run for the mid State no doubt. I mean the whole state. Lol
Winter Storm
Member
Is it tapping the gulf ?
The Euro definitely was kinda weird at H5 compared to other model guidance.