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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January


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Joyless January in full force

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Hopefully, this warmer trend of the GEFS runs for early January will end up wrong. Although the 12Z GEFS sucks monkey poop, there still is room for hope based on the 0Z GEFS teleconnection forecasts (even after taking into account somewhat of a -AO and -NAO bias although the good news is that it has had a slight -PNA bias) of still a +PNA, -AO, and -NAO combo, the best combo of those you can get:

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Something tells me if the euro went out a bit longer it would start snowing in NC as well with the phasing and position of the storm

You know how dealing with “hypotheticals” ends up. Need the ULL further south along the GC and panhandle.


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You all are getting frustrated for this being a TN event. Don't, 10-day patterns are highly workable, well within reach if there's more CAD. Heck, it's far south enough that there probably would be some snow in NC!
 
You all are getting frustrated for this being a TN event. Don't, 10-day patterns are highly workable, well within reach if there's more CAD. Heck, it's far south enough that there probably would be some snow in NC!
Northwest trend no one will have a chance

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Man that’s beautiful thing on the 12z euro too bad it’s at day 9/10 . Any chance of snow next weekend and I’m headed to the in-laws in north Alabama or Gatlinburg


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I think it will trend south on future runs to include I-20 areas. Due to the Miller A pattern we in.
 
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