Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

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Joyless January in full force

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Hopefully, this warmer trend of the GEFS runs for early January will end up wrong. Although the 12Z GEFS sucks monkey poop, there still is room for hope based on the 0Z GEFS teleconnection forecasts (even after taking into account somewhat of a -AO and -NAO bias although the good news is that it has had a slight -PNA bias) of still a +PNA, -AO, and -NAO combo, the best combo of those you can get:

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