Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
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Not to deter from the topic, but that was one epic storm. Shut schools down for a week and had 8" where I'm at. It's only rivaled by Dec 9, 2017 for me.
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If only I was living up here and alive in 93... I've heard different things from people up here about that storm. I think there was something around 14" in this area, but I'm not certain.
Gfs starting to show that little clipper entity some of its ensembles have been showing ... another different scenario about to pan out this run I believe
THis is a nice look at 180. It's going to blow up with anticipated phasing event. Could suppress it too much this run but at this stage I still like the looks of it all.
Good trends here with our first trough. Notice ridge pushing west. Allowing the low pressure to come our way.
Don't sleep on that Low off the SE coast. It's been trending closer with a much better trough axis. This is the first chance that some of the ensembles have been keying on.
THis is a nice look at 180. It's going to blow up with anticipated phasing event. Could suppress it too much this run but at this stage I still like the looks of it all.
Agreed, the low over NE just needs to lift out more, it's to suppressive. We are usually gnashing our teeth as these lows are to quick to lift out. The trailing wave in TX does looks nice. And more to come.
Hmm. GFS still hanging back the east coast trough.. not enough separation. But again, close to a big hit. Would expect to continue to see some nice ensemble members out of it.
Kinda wonder if that third piece of energy that has a fair bit of convection that's showing up in the gulf not interacting with the main piece is hurting us here convection wise. That major convection is now diving toward Cuba lol (what else is new in tracking in the winter?).
I'd love to throw my computer by the way. Wanted to interact earlier but I can't even copy paste maps without my computer freezing.
Edit: Nevermind, just saw why this is so suppressed in posts above.
I'd love to throw my computer by the way. Wanted to interact earlier but I can't even copy paste maps without my computer freezing.
Edit: Nevermind, just saw why this is so suppressed in posts above.
Another nice wave forming at 231. I have a difficult time believing that all of these nice waves in Texas are going to get squashed as much as the GFS is showing considering the 500mb setup.
Second storm could be colder this run .. again at this point in the model everything is effected by the 1st storm so take with a grain of salt as we have no concrete idea on what the 1st storm would do but if it were to be suppressed like that this is how the second storm would pan out
Isn't that trough too far east? I'd think we need a more w/sw h5 flow to get our moisture to come out of the gulf.
Yep multiple waves to potentially track next week
NC could be liking this next storm .. 540 line much further south in mid SC instead of mid NC last run
Yep. Hr 252 snow breaking out in the Upstate. Low tracking through Central FL. Let's see if the system blows up.
this is the one I have my eye on. This is an overlay of the last 3 gfs runs.
Blue 00z
Green 06z
Yellow 12z
pretty obvious where this may end up.
