Cross Creek? We need to get together for a round some day! Have fun and Merry Christmas!!! Can't believe this winter is looking and probably going to be horrible again. Will we ever have another great winter?
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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
Cross Creek? We need to get together for a round some day! Have fun and Merry Christmas!!! Can't believe this winter is looking and probably going to be horrible again. Will we ever have another great winter?
It could easily be just a sucker run, but very much fwiw, the 0Z GEFS has a better look than recent runs in the 11-15. Any predictions about the Euro and its ens?
Edit: The most recent GEFS with a better look in the 11-15 was the 6Z run of Sunday or seven runs ago.
Edit: The most recent GEFS with a better look in the 11-15 was the 6Z run of Sunday or seven runs ago.
Last edited:
John1122
Member
For those of us west of the Apps the GEFS went below normal on temps at hour 162 and only had about 24-48 hours of AN temps from 162-384. We are entering the time of year when it only takes a small amount below normal to produce wintry weather for the upper South/40 corridor. Takes a bit more to get it done in the deep South obviously as we are still about 3.5 to 4 weeks from the heart of the season when temps are at their coldest on average.
Brent
Member
looks like a nice squall line in Dixie to start January...
Verbatim the euro has some hefty severe weather events for the coming week ... fairly ominous ... but also we’re clearly headed way colder after these powerful fronts u can see the cold about to drop in on the euro
ajr
Member
Looking back to what Masiello and a few others were talking about in December about serious cold coming in January.. are we still looking at the same overall picture or has the situation changed?
Nevermind, I give up. Whining, and verbatim long range models rule. I’m hibernating.
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NCHighCountryWX
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Updated GEFS MJO now arcs wide into Phase 5
I don't know how we escape this mess...considerable amount of patience I guess. Consolidated tPV and warm MJO phases.
2015 had similar MJO path and back half of winter was really cold...but it didn't have the tPV parked over AK and we already had a strong -EPO. It was much easier to transition to a productive pattern.
Twas the night before Christmas, when all through the east
Not a snowflake was stirring, not one in the least.
The snow boots were stored in the closet with care
And the shovel was hung on the wall in despair.
The cold it was nestled, all snug near the pole
A gift far much worse than a big lump of coal.
And the only small token that winter brought forth
Came from a cool front, slipping in from the north.
I laid there awake as I heard the rain splatter
Another good winter turning into a ratter.
When what to my wondering ears did I hear?
An alert that the new European was here.
The cold GFS had given me snow
Would the Euro confirm? I just had to know.
Away to the laptop, I flew like a flash
Threw open the website and cleared all the cache.
But even as over the time stamps I flew
My eyes soon confirmed what my heavy heart knew
There was only bright red where there should have been blue
The Euro had spoken, “There is no snow for you!”
My head hung in sadness while I sat there and pondered
Would ensembles be worth staying up for, I wondered?
Would a miracle await, would Christmas some through?
Could the wintriest of all wintry wishes come true?
But soon to my senses I came with a bound
Closed out the window and shut the site down.
Then off to the bedroom, I turned with a jerk
Three hours of sleep was the night’s only perk.
As I pillowed my head and tucked in the sheet
Distressed that the Euro is so hard to beat
I knew in my heart that this snowstorm was done
At least until dawn and the next 6z run.
MERRY CHRISTMAS!!
Not a snowflake was stirring, not one in the least.
The snow boots were stored in the closet with care
And the shovel was hung on the wall in despair.
The cold it was nestled, all snug near the pole
A gift far much worse than a big lump of coal.
And the only small token that winter brought forth
Came from a cool front, slipping in from the north.
I laid there awake as I heard the rain splatter
Another good winter turning into a ratter.
When what to my wondering ears did I hear?
An alert that the new European was here.
The cold GFS had given me snow
Would the Euro confirm? I just had to know.
Away to the laptop, I flew like a flash
Threw open the website and cleared all the cache.
But even as over the time stamps I flew
My eyes soon confirmed what my heavy heart knew
There was only bright red where there should have been blue
The Euro had spoken, “There is no snow for you!”
My head hung in sadness while I sat there and pondered
Would ensembles be worth staying up for, I wondered?
Would a miracle await, would Christmas some through?
Could the wintriest of all wintry wishes come true?
But soon to my senses I came with a bound
Closed out the window and shut the site down.
Then off to the bedroom, I turned with a jerk
Three hours of sleep was the night’s only perk.
As I pillowed my head and tucked in the sheet
Distressed that the Euro is so hard to beat
I knew in my heart that this snowstorm was done
At least until dawn and the next 6z run.
MERRY CHRISTMAS!!
At least they look to be trending in the right direction in the first couple days of January
pcbjr
Member
FWIW, anyway ...
tennessee storm
Member
Not good
Jon
Member
...
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...
Thank god the weeklies are trash!
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whatalife
Moderator
This made my day.
Boy the gfs doesn't look bad the first few days of January
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