Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

[ForsythSnow]

Some said wait for the Euro and the Euro has spoken. Maybe this one won't die by 0Z.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This could be our only shot this winter. Need a couple favorable bounces but I don’t super hate it

 

[pcbjr]

This could be our only shot this winter.

Hardly ... but then, I didn't sleep at a Holiday Inn Express last night ...

 

[tennessee storm]

If the Euro went beyond d10 it would be prepare for glory time....

It’s always day 10 or beyond

 

[KyloG]

A positive...just takes a couple of weeks, hopefully to get the PV away from Alaska to Baffin Bay.

 

[KyloG]

Positive trends with building a legit PDO. Clearly see trend to classic horseshoe sst's. Will be interesting to see what the Dec PDO index comes in at.




As we proceed later into winter the +PDO correlation is stronger with SE trough.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Positive trends with building a legit PDO. Clearly see trend to classic horseshoe sst's. Will be interesting to see what the Dec PDO index comes in at.

View attachment 28877


As we proceed later into winter the +PDO correlation is stronger with SE trough.

View attachment 28878

Certainly doesn’t hurt the chances of a -EPO in the future, that type of +PDO reminds me of 2014-2015 (I think that’s the correct year(s))

 

[KyloG]

If the Euro went beyond d10 it would be prepare for glory time....

For fun..control run is similar to GFS.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

For fun..control run is similar to GFS.

View attachment 28879View attachment 28880

Hmm.. make that trough go negative tilt quicker or speed up that SW in the Southwest with a trough in the east that slows down than things get real interesting

 

[pcbjr]

Not even gonna post the pics (don't wanna ruin any little bit of Holiday cheer) ... but CPC has no thoughts of warming Alaska ...

 

[whatalife]

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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

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Euro warm bias caveat at play here?

 

[Rain Cold]

Euro warm bias caveat at play here?

Not sure, but that is one ugly, ugly animation. Just hard to find anything to really like about that. Have to hope it's wrong.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

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Can you post the forecast gif of what the Euro weeklies we’re showing for this time last month?

 

[whatalife]

Can you post the forecast gif of what the Euro weeklies we’re showing for this time last month?

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[cd2play]

Not sure, but that is one ugly, ugly animation. Just hard to find anything to really like about that. Have to hope it's wrong.

I was hoping someone would come on here and say they accidentally pulled the 2011-12 animation.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

I was hoping someone would come on here and say they accidentally pulled the 2011-12 animation.

Ive heard several people on the other board mention the 11-12 winter. I wouldnt mind a repeat. At least no one would get their hopes up. I have fond memories of that winter.

 

[SD]

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This looks about right as we roll into feb, unless we get a -nao. Strangely even in the face of less than ideal models I'm concerned about January but not on the ledge like some

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[whatalife]

This looks about right as we roll into feb, unless we get a -nao. Strangely even in the face of less than ideal models I'm concerned about January but not on the ledge like some

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Yeah. I still think January averages out near normal with a threat or two as we come to the end of January.


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[Arcc]

I repeat, the 2018-2019 Winter broke people.