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Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.




Commanders new GM Adam Peters landing in the snow at Dulles. He will be announced tomorrow i believe. I know its a sports story but yeah everyone relates to the snow!
 
I post these with skepticism because there has been marginal movement on the cold to the west with the exception of southern Mississippi and Alabama. One would be led to believe there is a wave somewhere down there that has to trek NE, then the cold will follow. @Arcc @accu35

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Most of the “zR” in northern Alabama is actually sleet. Don’t know if that will be the case to the south. Started as ZR though
 
PEA_RIDGE said:
WHERE DOES ONE GET THIS.. IS IT A PAID OPTION??
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Yes on pivotal. It’s 100% worth it you get soundings on the euro/Uk/cmc, all the ------ wrf sisters and more features for only 9.99, cheaper than most other things. Really good bar for comparing and trends as well. I’d say get it
 
It’s 38 here with a stiff NNE breeze. It’s 3 degrees colder 15 minutes to my east and is heading this way. That HRRR warm 2M bias is rearing its ugly head. Makes things somewhat interesting for some freezing drizzle or maybe some light ZR potential if we keep this temp drop going
 
iGRXY said:
It’s 38 here with a stiff NNE breeze. It’s 3 degrees colder 15 minutes to my east and is heading this way. That HRRR warm 2M bias is rearing its ugly head. Makes things somewhat interesting for some freezing drizzle or maybe some light ZR potential if we keep this temp drop going
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34.8 here and dropping. colder than everything modeling wise. At least could be some spotty freezing drizzle for some areas as WAA cranks up before a quick switch to cold rain as latent heat release occurs. It’s something I guess
 
Chazwin said:
Just out curiosity… how much has piled up? If you got a couple inches, that’s gonna be hard to melt
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Funny thing is it's hard to tell. It never once got above 27 here all day, but road temps and latent heat release kept the roads mostly wet till after dark. (p.s. watching water roll down the gutter all day at 25° hurts your feelings a little bit). Also, we've got pretty tall dead Bermuda grass, but it's getting near the top of that. My car however, is covered in a metric ton of ice and sleet. Just a crazy setup right in this little area.
 
CobraMedic said:
I am having a hard time believing that. We have had zero precipitation in Etowah, yet is says we will have 2 inches of frozen precipitation ?
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You’re not going to get precip until after midnight. The good stuff is still back west in Mississippi.
 
So with all the maps y’all are posting.. and I’m seeing sleet/zr in Troup county/LaGrange GA… why does FFC only have advisories down to I -20/Carroll county?? Am I missing something?
 
Snowfan said:
My best bet is they extend the advisories south early in the morning.
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Either that, or they totally ignore all the models y’all have posted here.. the rap model really hands it to us and I thought it was a good short term model.. isn’t the rap a version of the eta? Or am I confusing that with the NAM?
 
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