Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

[iGRXY]

A few may have mentioned this but what would it take to give the NC foothills and Piedmont a chance at this storm. Any realistic chances.

Trough goes neutral tilt along the Mississippi coast line

 

[coldfront22]

Hmmm. One can hope. Good looking storm Mid South

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hmmm. If we can get this finger band to over perform that would be nice. Need more WAA then modeled, but run the risk of ip with it

 

[JLL1973]

Looks like cam models are all coming in well north of global. Nevermind the nam filled in nicely too the south. I don’t believe the ice part. Most guidance supports all snow as the dendritic zone is fully saturated on most models

 

[ynot]

This is evolving into more of a overrunning event VS a LP event.. but we have gotten alot of our meat and potatoes snows over the years in the southeast from these events...just pinning down where the band is gonna set up is key.. it will set up on the arctic air boundary

 

[DopplerWx]

 

[DopplerWx]

3k is trending further s with that initial snow band past 3 runs

 

[Rain Cold]

How's the Spiral model looking?

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

How's the Spiral model looking?

Hopefully not out of control

 

[NWMSGuy]

 

[Brent]

I have tiny flurries flying around with no clouds on the leading edge of the Arctic air interesting ?

 

[ynot]

I have tiny flurries flying around with no clouds on the leading edge of the Arctic air interesting ?

Squeezing low level moisture out of the air

 

[NWMSGuy]

12Z HRRR totals through the end of its run for the Mid-South.

 

[Goose88]

I have tiny flurries flying around with no clouds on the leading edge of the Arctic air interesting ?

I asked James Spann about that in the cold outbreak Dec 2022 its referred to as diamond dust

 

[JLL1973]

View attachment 141966

You’re probably in the best spot of anyone on this board. You in Tate county?

 

[JLL1973]

12Z HRRR totals through the end of its run for the Mid-South. View attachment 141967View attachment 141968View attachment 141969

Looks like short range models are north of globals

 

[NWMSGuy]

You’re probably in the best spot of anyone on this board. You in Tate county?

Yes

 

[NWMSGuy]

Memphis seems to think this will be an all snow event so it is interesting that the short range models are advertising a good amount of Sleet. ?

 

[ynot]

Memphis seems to think this will be an all snow event so it is interesting that the short range models are advertising a good amount of Sleet. ?

I think tbe hi res models are too far north.. they will settle south with time

 

[TheBatman]

12z icon coming in little south. Lining up with Euro and GFS. Going to be a nice hit for most of Tennessee and Northern Miss/Alabama