Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

[DopplerWx]

Little more s with snow than 6z

 

[jrips27]

12z RGEM

 

[buckinbronco]

WRF coming in further south with the initial finger of precip than other short range guidance…I know I’m grasping

 

[iGRXY]

ICON is digging the energy further west and is stronger vs 6z

 

[rburrel2]

Icon has a finger of light snow in the upstate Monday morning. Surface temps aren't great though. Possiblity of some mood flakes at least.

GFS and euro are showing more/less the exact same thing with that band barely making it far enough south and east to clip us Monday morning.

SW mountains are looking great for this front end hit now.

 

[TheBatman]

 

[TheBatman]

View attachment 141972Little more s with snow than 6z

I can see this shifting another 50 miles south with the trends of all the models before go time.

 

[DopplerWx]

Man, closer than 06z

 

[Twister]

Cold isn’t the issue

850s look iffy to me

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[BLIZZARD1993]

I know I am going to keep wish casting for that southern trend.

 

[jeremyt]

As an EMS worker I hear you brother! Amen! Light rain is enough for 10 overturns to go out and wipe out all ambulances and keep us running our tails off all night! Tell em!

I’m an EMT too so I hope people heed the warning and stay off the roads but it always goes the people who call are the first ones to argue with anything for the most part!

 

[ynot]

View attachment 141973
WRF coming in further south with the initial finger of precip than other short range guidance…I know I’m grasping

We could only dream

 

[tucker]

Chattanooga could break the streak with this storm… but fully prepared to be heartbroken.


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[iGRXY]

850s look iffy to me

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850’s are an issue because the trough is too progressive not allowing for any lift to generate precip and slowing it down to allow more colder air to get in place. If the trough goes neutral tilt it will slow allowing the cold air to filter in and precip to drive dynamic cooling. The temps aren’t the issue here because they will be colder just from the slowing of the trough and precip being driven. Everything is dependent on a neutral tilted trough further west

 

[JLL1973]

Icon about same placement as 6Z and a little heavier precip. Northwest ms is probably gonna get dumped on.

 

[NWMSGuy]

Icon about same placement as 6Z and a little heavier precip. Northwest ms is probably gonna get dumped on.

Should start seeing Warnings issued this afternoon/evening.

 

[Usmeagle2005]

Icon about same placement as 6Z and a little heavier precip. Northwest ms is probably gonna get dumped on.

It’s just weird how it shows between 23-27 here but rain.??

 

[JLL1973]

It’s just weird how it shows between 23-27 here but rain.??View attachment 141981View attachment 141982

I think that model has surface product issues. If your in Tupelo that’s probably going to be snow or sleet

 

[WXinCanton]

 

[WXinCanton]

NAM came in a tick north