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Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

I don’t have access to maps but it seems NW GA could get a good coating of ice even with the shift north.
 
Continuing to see small gains at H5 for redevelopment over the east. Now seeing the beginning of the surface reflections to go with it on the 18z Euro control. It ain't much, but it's a start. Check out that Outer Banks swath...

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-conus-vort500_z500-1705082400-1705471200-1705471200-40.gif

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-se-total_snow_10to1-1705082400-1705514400-1705514400-40.gif
 
Continuing to see small gains at H5 for redevelopment over the east. Now seeing the beginning of the surface reflections to go with it on the 18z Euro control. It ain't much, but it's a start. Check out that Outer Banks swath...

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One thing I noted is the cold 850 and surface temps. You wouldn’t likely need a whole lot to squeeze out something from the atmosphere.
 
One thing I noted is the cold 850 and surface temps. You wouldn’t likely need a whole lot to squeeze out something from the atmosphere.
Nope. Right at the tail end the 18z euro control really tried to get precip redevelopment going (thus that slightly enhanced swath along the coast line). Just a little bit more of the same and a 2-4 inch "spire-like" event would be on the table.

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-conus-t850_mslp_prcp6hr-1705082400-1705492800-1705514400-20.gif
 
Continuing to see small gains at H5 for redevelopment over the east. Now seeing the beginning of the surface reflections to go with it on the 18z Euro control. It ain't much, but it's a start. Check out that Outer Banks swath...

View attachment 141824

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It’s the weenie in me I know BUT we have come back from worse with less lead time so I’ll keep a sliver of hope
 
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