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Yeah I consider it a neutral thing. it's better than being overamped
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Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
JLL1973
Member
i live in the midsouth. looks like a good 1-2 inch snowfall for most of the midsouth with higer accumulations north of I40
Appears one of the critical time frames for the differences between ICON and 6z Euro Control is around 18z Monday. At this time, the Euro control begins to create separation in the northern stream while the ICON does not. Translates to a focus on the first wave of energy and doesn't hold back as much.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Peep the change over the NE
iGRXY
Member
JLL1973
Member
looks like our wave is a strung out mess early on the gfs. Lets see what it does
iGRXY
Member
Cary_Snow95
Member
Biggest changes thus far on the gfs are over the NE
WXinCanton
Member
SnowwxAtl
Member
Northern GA per usual!
Damn
iGRXY
Member
Continuing the positive trends. My first big thing I am looking for is getting the NE confluence trended correctly because we need the cold press or it doesn't matter what happens with the S/W. GFS took a big step in the right direction
Stormlover
Member
12z gfs is great
I think this is what we want (in eastern sections), we just want more of it. The more the northern stream can separate and move out ahead, the more it will press the height field and allow cold aloft to move in ahead of the system.
iGRXY
Member
Wulfer
Member
Huge hit in Choo Choo town. (That's Chatt. for younger posters!)
iGRXY
Member
CMC is beautiful over NE. Need work out west.
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Thats a hard thing to do down there. Good luck!
?
W
WSW
Guest
This just has that look that us in the upstate like to see.
UNCSC
Member
at least the Canadian has been inconsistent hot garbage this winter
I'll raise you one - IF, IF IF, these trends of the past couple runs continue, it WILL be a big event for the eastern U.S.
Full GFS 3 hour precip-type for everyone
Yes. The further south and east one lives in the SE, the more a taller ridge out west helps. IE, the further S the trough digs plus that generally helps with a more neutral tilt which is the difference between a frontal passage and precip of consequence.
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Freezing rain usually isn’t a transitional ptype here so I call BS on the GFS. Probably sleet in reality but that doesn’t really matter attm.
selfishly ( I will be in Tahoe then and would like some fresh snow falling...lol) and un-selfishly...I think that Vortmax coming down thru BC, I need that to dive Southward and hang together. I still feel like that is the "caboose" system that will produce hopefully a storm for me in Tahoe and then dive SE and forced to hang with yall and deliver a nice Winter hit to end the pattern.
HugeSnowStick
Member
Tallahassee.
iGRXY
Member
Stormlover
Member
Spire . And the ratio will be well more than the 10:1 is shows
iGRXY
Member
iGRXY
Member
what on earth is spire weather. is this the cricket wireless of numeral weather prediction models?Spire
word of caution here, i've noticed ice can be more prevalent than you think in situations where the LP is elongated/banana shaped (which I think we will see here)
Stormlover
Member
Hyper-localized weather forecast: Spire Weather uses local sensors, Spire's satellite weather observations, and other sources to learn the weather patterns in a specific area and is combined with machine learning techniques to create a tailored and accurate forecast for the exact site.