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Wintry Jan 30-Feb 2 2021 ❄️ Potential

jjwxman said:
FRAM’d... Lol. More realistic outcome IMO. And I do expect this will start to go up if the models continue to trend colder as we get into Saturday afternoon.

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I see lesser totals west in the strongest Cad regions. Are they more IP than Zr in the west?
 
12z OP Canadian: The Grey Shade eastern 1/2 NC is from wrap around
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12 canadian OP Frzng Rn
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12z RDPS frzng RN
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12z RDPS Clown
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12z UKIE Clown
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12z GFSFV (sonn to be old gfs is about the same: The eastern 1/2 nc shade is wrap around like Canadian wrap around
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Both GFS confine Frzng rn up in VA are very minimal along escarpment
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Then heres the 12 Nam
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ONLY OUT TO HR 60 on 3k:

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This is my early thoughts right now. Think the escarpment and NW piedmont are likely to receive quite a bit of ICE in this setup. It will likely be a sharp cutoff the further east you go and closer to I77. Places like Hendersonville, Boone, southeastern Buncombe county, Morganton always do really well when it comes to CAD and ice setups where the cold air gets trapped next to the eastern slopes of the mountains and cold see quite a bit of ICE. along and just north of I40 and along I26 could see around 0.1" of ICE with higher totals the further west you go towards the mountains. NE Georgia to GSP to CLT and Raleigh could see a trace of ICE with higher totals north of those areas. TR, Landrum, Inman, and the Triad could definitely get in on more ICE. Totals could go up or down (leaning towards up witht he cold DPs around) the closer we get to the event.
 
Winter Storm Watch
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
257 PM EST Fri Jan 29 2021

...WINTER STORM POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...

.A strong storm system will push into the Appalachians Saturday
night into Sunday. This combined with cold temperatures will
bring the possibility of a wintry mix of accumulating snow,
sleet, and freezing rain to western North Carolina.

NCZ033-035-036-049-050-053-056-064-065-501>510-300400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0003.210131T0300Z-210131T1800Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-Catawba-
Transylvania-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-
Eastern Polk-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem,
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point,
Statesville, Mooresville, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville,
Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Asheville, Hickory,
Newton, St. Stephens, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River,
Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, Etowah,
Patterson, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls,
Jonas Ridge, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford,
Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero,
Glenwood, Chimney Rock State Park, Forest City, Rutherfordton,
Spindale, Saluda, Tryon, Columbus, and Mill Spring
257 PM EST Fri Jan 29 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet
accumulations of up to 3 inches and ice accumulations of around
one tenth of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of western North Carolina, including the
northern mountains, Blue Ridge, foothills and northwest
Piedmont.

* WHEN...From Saturday evening through Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Windy conditions will be possible across
the higher elevations of the Tennessee border counties Sunday
morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow, sleet, or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.
 
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