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Wintry Jan 30-Feb 2 2021 ❄️ Potential

Last nights euro is a ?
 

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I can't wait to sit through 33 and rain. Much better than 31 or 32 and rain though
 
12z NAMs coming in now
 
How is the Nam coming in much colder and warmer?
I know I'm not in NC but the temp on the name has been ticking down degree by degree here. 35 this run vs 37 last night. A couple degrees colder and we could have ice. And it holds the entire event to at that temp.
 
Should we trust Nam with CAD at this point?! it’s the only model here in Roanoke that is giving me significant icing. Not to mention 3km gives weak precip.
 
12k NAM has the 50s just to the east and southeast of me, 20 miles or so. Ouch, sound right though. CAD following the Coastal plain/piedmont border perfectly.
 
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