Yea, that looks like ? And more what I would expect with a primary low way north in KY or IN or OH. We'll see if this is the beginning of the death tread or a fluke run but getting close to locked in. Screw miller Bs. NAM has been jumping around but this looks really bad.
Yeah no even here lol, wet bulb of 29, that’s fun, hopefully that’s the Lr 3km Doing it’s thing
Yeah that run has got me worried, but in euro we trust
I mean we should know after last nights storm. Model was terrible at this range
Wet bulb of 29 for me at that time. Honestly what might be the most eye opening is that that run overall wasn’t great for winter weather here, yet it still gives a solution that would lead to significant icing. We’re not really going to be into the NAM’s good range until tomorrow morning, but we can still see that dewpoints ahead of this are still gonna be really low.
If have anytime to get some radiational cooling prior to the event, then oof lol, this setup gets my eyes because how low dewpoints are, in the December system we were dealing with low/mid 20s
Truth, but I would rather it be terrible dry and suppressed than north at this range
Yeah, if it’s clear early Saturday evening like it was tonight, then temps are gonna drop like a rock..: I’m already down to 28. Also those dewpoints in the mid teens across the Triad and Triangle are important as well. When the winds turn from the NE, that’s the airmass that’s getting pushed this way
This map brought to you by Technicolor.
ZR is probably more likely, than a big sleet storm. Warm nose will be stout. If we had a big high anchored up there, i.e. classic CAD, I'd be more bullish about sleet. Not saying it can't happen now...I just think an ice storm will be more likely than a big sleet storm.
Seemed similar to past runs with precip. let me look at temps. maps on TT are sort of meh though.
