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Deleted member 1449
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The 2Z HRRR with 1" at GSO.
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Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread
- Thread starter RBR71
- Start date
SWVAwxfan
Member
Gotta love dopplar radar. 
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Deleted member 1449
Guest
The good news is my temp is still falling (41.0) and about a degree cooler than the HRRR. It's going to be close.
Rain is picking up here in Durham now.
Nomanslandva
Member
I got 37 and still rain. per directions of this forum, checked street lights....still rain. close though, can smell it.
Wow, nice convective cluster with a nice OFB 
NCSNOW
Member
Beleive I just Heard thunder rumble
mPing reports are nothing but rain all around you.
SWVAwxfan
Member
Will take a bit to transition. Once it does, look out. It is dumping snow here
jovialweather
Member
So close. Trying to cap off our mountain trip with at least a little something.
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Deleted member 1449
Guest
I can't remember which winter it was, it was two or three years ago, but during that winter EVERY winter event overperformed relative to model guidance/forecast. It was uncanny. We are having the opposite this season. I hope we can break the streak on Sunday but I'm not so sure now.
40.8/39.9 .21 in the bucket.
40.8/39.9 .21 in the bucket.
Can confirm. I’m 10 mi SW of WS. Definitely thunder.
stephend122080
Member
00z HREF ensemble snowfall FWIW
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That was 2017-2018. The December storm overperformed for north GA and west NC. The 1st January storm overperformed for areas further west. The second January storm overperformed over central NC. Then, there were a whole bunch of March storms.
Pretty beefy. Encouraging.00z HREF ensemble snowfall FWIW
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smast16
Member
Do I smell some Lee side dry slot already forming from the coastal handoff in progress?
Remember my benchmark has always been 2 AM for snow starting here in Raleigh.. right now something tells me we start before that.. looking at radar and correlation coefficients I feel like I’m already seeing the mixing layer drop fast
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Brick Tamland
Guest
00z HREF ensemble snowfall FWIW
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I think we have a chance to see a lot of precip and heavy rates in a short period of time with this.
SWVAwxfan
Member
I believe one also overperformed over coastal GA and the eastern Carolinas. Columbia has overperformed on sucking at winter weather.
Yep this backend stuff is getting ate away at quick, faster then the HRRR shows
GarnerNC
Member
Really coming down now in Valle Crucis!
Jon
Member
10:1 snowfall is criminal. Lol. HRRR native snowfall:
Sorry this is the wrong run but you get the idea.
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MotoWeatherman
Meteorologist
Had some thundersnow when it all started on Beech mtn around 725pm.
Turner Team
Member
Temp is steady at 40 with moderate rain. No snow mixing in as of yet.
SWVAwxfan
Member
Screenshot of i-81 near Wytheville VA. 
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Deleted member 1449
Guest
Have no fear boys and girls. The GFS is here to save the day:
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Have no fear boys and girls. The GFS is here to save the day:
Well, it sure has been consistent.
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Deleted member 1449
Guest
Consistently bad, yes. Hardly a reason to toot it's horn.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
How so? The storm is just beginning.
GFS might have sniffed this out first but it's still a jokeHave no fear boys and girls. The GFS is here to save the day:
I’m liking where the banding is setting up. Will be efficient in cooling the column.
Nomanslandva
Member
Mix here now. HRRR pegged this hour all day long. 34/32
SWVAwxfan
Member
And of course. It's over Roxboro. What a surprise
Brick it's 42 and raining, transition line nowhere in site yet, you are going to get 4 hrs snow if you're lucky and will lose the first to melting....no way those GFS totals verify. I'll do naked snow dive if I get 6" tonight.
SWVAwxfan
Member
Video or it didn't happen. Lol
NCSNOW
Member
Sctvman
Member
This snow is sneaking up on some people I bet.
Haha I wish. If we get the ground white I'll be excited. I'm not enthusiastic about things right now