Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread

[Tarheel1]

Yeah, SREF certainly caving with other models.
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A RC jackpot? Somebody’s playing Defender!

 

[Nomanslandva]

Yeah, SREF certainly caving with other models.
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I have not looked at the SREF all season, why did you make me see that???

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

V16 FOR THE WIN

 

[BIG FROSTY]

I have not looked at the SREF all season, why did you make me see that???

Don't bother, I've never seen them right! lol

 

[blueheronNC]

 

[Metwannabe]

I hate this model

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Looks like the GFS followed the HRRR with the WAA going further north. You can see the area of maximum frontogenesis has shifted north some and ofc, as you can see the 0c isotherm has shifted north with it. We were just talking about this too.

 

[LickWx]

Don’t look now but it’s a strengthening warm nose ? Am I doing this right ?

 

[LickWx]

Looks like the GFS followed the HRRR with the WAA going further north. You can see the area of maximum frontogenesis has shifted north some and ofc, as you can see the 0c isotherm has shifted north with it. We were just talking about this too.

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Dang I almost beat you to it. It took me 5 minutes though to figure out how to post .

 

[CyclonicFury]

WRAL going very conservative. T-0.5" for RDU and T-1" for northern areas.

 

[blueheronNC]

Don’t look now but it’s a strengthening warm nose ? Am I doing this right ?

Roxboro special here we come with mixing eating up all accums in Raleigh

 

[mrdaddyman]

Looks like the GFS followed the HRRR with the WAA going further north. You can see the area of maximum frontogenesis has shifted north some and ofc, as you can see the 0c isotherm has shifted north with it. We were just talking about this too.

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Can I please just not have to deal with a warm nose for once? Let's trend this thing back South.

 

[KyloG]

Interesting seeing the Euro and GFS on top of each other for snowfall placement just different on amounts, obviously

 

[Brick Tamland]

Interesting seeing the Euro and GFS on top of each other for snowfall placement just different on amounts, obviously

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That's another reason I think it looks good for this one. Not only did the Euro increase its totals by 3 times the amount of its previous run, but the placement is so similar to the GFS and other short range models that aren't the NAM.

 

[tramadoc]

The NAM is better short term than the GFS. GFS is a medium to long range model. We are in the NAM’s wheelhouse. You’re gonna be bigly disappointed Thursday morning, son.

I did. Also looked at all the other maps showing something different. NAM is pretty much alone. GFS has remained steady. Euro increased by 3 times the amount. Other short range models are better, too. You be pessimistic if you want. I'll be optimistic and whatever happens will happen.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Yeah the EURO and GFS are pretty much pointless at this point. Gotta look all the short range models atm

 

[LickWx]

Roxboro special here we come with mixing eating up all accums in Raleigh

Models don’t really show a lot mixing right now , it’s either just straight rain or snow it seems like. Correct me if I am wrong .

 

[Metwannabe]

yeah lots of NAM low snowfall total type women being posted . I like the Gfs snow total type women please . ( I did a good job relating the two and staying on topic I think!)

Barely and actually quite a bit of banter in here. Just sayin

 

[Metwannabe]

It's not difficult, if it's off topic post in one of the banter threads, if you want to make it personal do it else where. If you're going to single out someone PM, whamby or not at all, we're all adults here, honestly shouldn't even have to moderate a weather forum.... geez!!

 

[Bready86]

Canadian showing some higher totals