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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

CaryWx said:
Odd look. Building CAD or retreating CAD there?
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slight in-situ cad signature but it's not the leading actor in this particular movie
wow said:
Classic GFS move botching the separate waves and forcing a phase too quickly. Actually good to see.
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i was looking for the words.. this is it. the waves get misaligned and that's why the precip structure kind of looks like a falling jenga tower. generally just happy we're honing in on a date instead of just broadly gesturing at a trough

sorry folks... this might be a storm for me and not many others. i generally think a mid south / mid-atlantic hit that sets up a 50/50 low would be a reasonable precursor to a storm that follows with a track that's further south
 
These looks are just intense with blocks that aren't wanting to breakdown quickly. Rare

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Just going to throw a couple ideas out there.
This pattern could very well be a step down process for this board when it comes to the snow footprint of each event.
First event would be farther north
Second to mid-atlantic/mid south and maybe NC.
Whatever after would be further south.
Would probably be the way everyone would score here.
 
LukeBarrette said:
Just going to throw a couple ideas out there.
This pattern could very well be a step down process for this board when it comes to the snow footprint of each event.
First event would be farther north
Second to mid-atlantic/mid south and maybe NC.
Whatever after would be further south.
Would probably be the way everyone would score here.
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That’s exactly how I think it’ll go. We need every storm to overperform to our north this week on top of that.
 
Could wake up in the morning and have a legit winter storm for the 5th-7th time frame on the models. That’s what excites me about this pattern, you never know what surprises may come your way.
 
WEATHERBOYROY said:
I have never heard of this guy? I'm not sure what he's trying to say, but I don't think he is as smart as he thinks he is. what does he mean"remember climatology and ignore index-based predictions, especially those based on just one parameter." And"Duration of the winter weather may disappoint those looking for a "winter comeback", where the run of recent years with virtually no below normal temperatures and above average snowfall will come to a stop. " Sounds like a global warming nut that has made a forecast for a warm winter based on "climate change"and he's praying he won't look like a fool . At the very least he's a winter Grinch!
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LC is one of the greats.
 
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