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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

CaryWx said:
Odd look. Building CAD or retreating CAD there?
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slight in-situ cad signature but it's not the leading actor in this particular movie
wow said:
Classic GFS move botching the separate waves and forcing a phase too quickly. Actually good to see.
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i was looking for the words.. this is it. the waves get misaligned and that's why the precip structure kind of looks like a falling jenga tower. generally just happy we're honing in on a date instead of just broadly gesturing at a trough

sorry folks... this might be a storm for me and not many others. i generally think a mid south / mid-atlantic hit that sets up a 50/50 low would be a reasonable precursor to a storm that follows with a track that's further south
 
These looks are just intense with blocks that aren't wanting to breakdown quickly. Rare

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Just going to throw a couple ideas out there.
This pattern could very well be a step down process for this board when it comes to the snow footprint of each event.
First event would be farther north
Second to mid-atlantic/mid south and maybe NC.
Whatever after would be further south.
Would probably be the way everyone would score here.
 
LukeBarrette said:
Just going to throw a couple ideas out there.
This pattern could very well be a step down process for this board when it comes to the snow footprint of each event.
First event would be farther north
Second to mid-atlantic/mid south and maybe NC.
Whatever after would be further south.
Would probably be the way everyone would score here.
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That’s exactly how I think it’ll go. We need every storm to overperform to our north this week on top of that.
 
Could wake up in the morning and have a legit winter storm for the 5th-7th time frame on the models. That’s what excites me about this pattern, you never know what surprises may come your way.
 
WEATHERBOYROY said:
I have never heard of this guy? I'm not sure what he's trying to say, but I don't think he is as smart as he thinks he is. what does he mean"remember climatology and ignore index-based predictions, especially those based on just one parameter." And"Duration of the winter weather may disappoint those looking for a "winter comeback", where the run of recent years with virtually no below normal temperatures and above average snowfall will come to a stop. " Sounds like a global warming nut that has made a forecast for a warm winter based on "climate change"and he's praying he won't look like a fool . At the very least he's a winter Grinch!
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LC is one of the greats.
 
jrips27 said:
And all that snow cover gets us here View attachment 157339
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Foot plus of snow on the ground, massive power line damage, subzero temps equals house plumbing Armageddon.

Not being an alarmist, but you can kiss municipal water goodbye for days as well.
 
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