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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

Mitch West said:
So much potential with such a large window. Energy is flying around everywhere.
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Absolutely- models haven’t really coalesced on a period(s) yet- that broad window is represented by the randomness of of the ensemble plots. Good in that it shows the window is both big and fertile, hoping that we can begin to key in on a particular date or two this suite
 
ILMRoss said:
it would be impressive if we screwed this look up
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Ha, I guess there's a reason most of us have single digit avg / median snowfall. I like how the GFS and CMC runs are maintaining the -NAO and reloading the cold. The Euro big bang cold shot and out of here is a potential fail mode. Lack of southern stream is another - but we can get around that somewhat with dropping waves down into the deep trough
 
WNC_Fort said:
Would be a devastating outcome for the upstate of SC, foothills of NC, and western Piedmont areas. You'd have the mountains and coastal areas score big but those in-between stuck with nothing.
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What would be devastation is this cold coming with so many still without homes in WNC.
 
WNC_Fort said:
Would be a devastating outcome for the upstate of SC, foothills of NC, and western Piedmont areas. You'd have the mountains and coastal areas score big but those in-between stuck with nothing.
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Don't worry fam, it'll show it snowing again in Nashville at 3 degrees by the 18z run.
 
Normally these tend to trend N/W but with that extreme cold, outside of the mountains and coastal plain in NC, the Piedmont, foothills, upstate/Atlanta areas it could be a realistic scenario of zero snow for those areas. At this stage though, trying to predict the storm or the path is a fools errand.
 
Nothing overwhelming but probabilities for precip next Friday/Saturday are slowly inching up on the Ensembles. Similar increases on the ICON Ensembles as well. There's enough energy flying around the base of that trough for a late bloomer (nothing big, but 1-2" in parts of AL, TN, GA, NC wouldn't be a shocking outcome).

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MichaelJ said:
Normally these tend to trend N/W but with that extreme cold, outside of the mountains and coastal plain in NC, the Piedmont, foothills, upstate/Atlanta areas it could be a realistic scenario of zero snow for those areas. At this stage though, trying to predict the storm or the path is a fools errand.
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Also a good chance (I think) that the cold is not really going to be that extreme.
 
The solution that the GFS is depicting showing snow falling along an arctic front in far Southern Georgia/North Florida is not out of the realm of possibilities, the same thing happened during the artic blast of the first week of February 1996. If my memory is correct, the accumulations in GA were confined to the area between Waycross and Brunswick. All points to the NW just got bitter cold and absolutely nothing, this was the last time that specific area got snow until the early January 2018 storm.
 
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