Snowlover34
Member
Hey can you post what the eps is showing?
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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Dawg, this is so good. That precipatation footprint is beautiful as well. Can’t ask for much better honestly 
ForsythSnow
Moderator
3rd through 6th time frame looks generally ideal and many have mentioned it for days. I think watching that time duration is worth it given the setup. I wouldn't consider that can kicking at all.
Jessy89
Member
I think it’s more so 2 potentials then it is can kicking. 3-6th and 7-9th ish. Maybe even beyond that
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This. All we could really see (in range) was the 1st potential a few days ago.
griteater
Member
Yeah Fro, this GEFS run was really good and on par with that 12z EPS run yesterday. Since that point, the EPS has extended the Pac Jet more (as you know) and moved the troughs and ridges to the east...not as good IMO, but that also depends on how individual setups shake out in the end. But I'd like to see EPS pull back on the jet extension. GEFS now has it in the money spot out to Maui
18z AIFS went with a big +EAMT and overextended the pacific jet way to much 
NeatoOnly 15 days away!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I’m already revising this and can’t say I’m shocked because I knew this would likely happen with the background +AAMa, + Mtn torque, & sudden uptick in +U in the deep tropics, but the GEFS is getting its butt kicked (again).
Starting to worry if overextension could be a problem again. The AIFS went crazy from a big +EAMT which full sent the pac jet
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The GEFS is just getting flat out embarrassed.
Folding like origami to the EPS every time it tries to send a big trough out west, including this other one in the medium range
Folding like origami to the EPS every time it tries to send a big trough out west, including this other one in the medium range
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I usually don’t pay a ton of attention to deterministic models that far out but the overall pattern on the AIFS makes some sense with another positive torque coming down the pipe in addition to (& probably more importantly) the big +U surge in the tropics from other previous + torque events fluxing momentum equatorward and the MJO passage in the pacific
NCSNOW
Member
Jan 1 gets better every run up through 12z today. Talking pattern favoring Cold here. Which is step # 1.
Through day 15, far as it goes. Ridge out west and trough in east.
Jessy89
Member
The end of icon looked good
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LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
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The end of icon looked good
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Just before that looks money
Wow, very interesting and surprised this is being put out there by Rah NWS.
JLL1973
Member
00z with big changes from 18z but that’s to be expected being that far out .
Sometimes it takes baby steps before we get the big dog. Patience my friend. Last year was a horrible year of patterns and this year
Brent
Member
A high of 60 to a low of 8 on the GFS here 
Super long range though
Super long range though
griteater
Member
Looks cold. #natgas
