12z GFS has a small event in the mountains on 1/2
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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Just caught that thanks to @1300m !
Man something is lurking.. Just need work. 
Not far off. Need this trough axis a little further west to give it some legs to dig and tilt. I still believe this 1/3 to 1/6 window is ripe for rapid cyclogenesis off the east coast.
Got to slow that down a bit. May get some precip back to the OB for this one.
Look at all that energy in the east Pacific. Fast flow. If we had a 50/50, man.
GFS tried to close it off, dang, some of us don't need as much shift as others lol... I'd take a slight shift west and just a smidge more digging please.
Lol
Yeah looks like a real nice one for areas north of 40/85. It at least changes over for all of the state as well.
Prestige Worldwide
Member
solid doinker right there.
There is some solid GEFS ensemble support for something around 1/2-1/3.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
GEFS is likely far from done correcting to the EPS
Maybe it doesn't correct as far east and we end up with a blend.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Maybe it doesn't correct as far east and we end up with a blend.
I doubt it because the background state supports the eps
So the background state supports the more eastern trough developing or is that too fine a resolution to determine at this point
Euro has a light event for NC on 1/7 along with the GFS.
Broken024
Member
GEFS throwing some decent events through 300.
