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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

I just don't think we will have the cold air establish for most on here in that period. Not trying to be negative, but I personally don't think the first weekend of January (give or take a day) is our storm if there is one. It could be for some though. I think our opportunity comes several days into January.
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Yeah, you are probably right…hopefully by mid January cold might be in place.
 
Post one for Columbia SC please ?

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This evolution is gold. Not far off from something KU esque either. The Aleutian low being that strong is gonna feed lots of energy through the WC ridge. But just the overall progression. Get the intial CP flow into the U.S. and the cold then switch to a pac that’s far more active after with just more of a +PNA. Some big big storms fit this evolution. Normally we just go from a pattern with not much cold to a WC ridge and cold rain it away, but this time this is not the case. IMG_2544.gif
 
This evolution is gold. Not far off from something KU esque either. The Aleutian low being that strong is gonna feed lots of energy through the WC ridge. But just the overall progression. Get the intial CP flow into the U.S. and the cold then switch to a pac that’s far more active after with just more of a +PNA. Some big big storms fit this evolution. Normally we just go from a pattern with not much cold to a WC ridge and cold rain it away, but this time this is not the case. View attachment 156703
Hopefully I’m wrong but this seems like another one of those trough axis is too far east moments where suppressive NW flow air is more likely.
 
Hopefully I’m wrong but this seems like another one of those trough axis is too far east moments where suppressive NW flow air is more likely.
Maybe if you’re rooting for a bomb. Otherwise it being that far east helps leave room for a southern slider. Something like the January 2011 banger.
 
Hopefully I’m wrong but this seems like another one of those trough axis is too far east moments where suppressive NW flow air is more likely.
I don’t see that. This pattern doesn’t look like we are looking for northern stream digging like early Dec but rather energy being traded off from the pacific from the Aleutian/GOAK low, some memorable storms (2016) for ex fit this evolution. Pacific energy moving east into the strong cold suppressive height field. What sets this look apart is the strong split flow and the pacific open for business this go around, allowing pacific based energy to slide through the west coast ridge and dig/traverse east, then not get shredded apart due to the -NAOIMG_2545.gif
 
IMHO this is the type of pattern where you play your cards right and you could have more then 1 threat given the -NAO block trapping the TPV in Canada, and the GOAK trough consistently feeding energy. I’d say the only thing that could go wrong is we get another bout of overextension
 
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