Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

[Cad Wedge NC]

View attachment 100736And back down to reality

Guess they are betting on it staying an open wave an not closing off. We will know soon enough.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I definitely understand that but if what the 3k nam spit out happens (likely won’t) then you’ll have accumulation in the grass and elevated surfaces easily. We will be in the 20s Monday morning. 6.8 inches of snow falling in 4 hours isn’t just not going to accumulate in grassy areas.

See 3/1/09 for example.

NWS is forecasting low 30s for you on Monday morning.

 

[Oconeexman]

I'm all in. 6.5 inches in 2 hrs.View attachment 100760

You should do really well...expecting some awesome pics!

 

[WeatherNC]

Conservative, areas north of 40 should be on lookout, regardless of rain/snow this is going to wreak havoc with the Monday commutes 40/85/95. Models are now beginning to congeal on the deform, what a beast. SW extent should continue to grow, possibly even back to CLT for an hour or two. Top down, not 10:1

 

[SimeonNC]

So legit question, if the winds on the earlier HRRR verify, would that actually allow for a blizzard warning since it's based on wind speed and not amounts?

Sent from my LM-Q730 using Tapatalk

 

[KyloG]

MA has to be salivating. Ridge been trending strong along with the upper low. Tracks right down I40.

 

[accu35]

Other models are south of the gfs

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

So legit question, if the winds on the earlier HRRR verify, would that actually allow for a blizzard warning since it's based on wind speed and not amounts?

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Have to be sustained and for 3+ hours I believe .. we would just have gusts and probably not consistently for more than 2 hours ..

 

[Ollie Williams]

Yuck, I get a couple of inches while Roxboro gets a foot

 

[LukeBarrette]

Gfs NW as well

 

[packfan98]

lol

 

[DopplerWx]

18z gfs

 

[sigwx]

Conservative, areas north of 40 should be on lookout, regardless of rain/snow this is going to wreak havoc with the Monday commutes 40/85/95. Models are now beginning to congeal on the deform, what a beast. SW extent should continue to grow, possibly even back to CLT for an hour or two. Top down, not 10:1

I agree this system has not matured yet!!

 

[Metwannabe]

Not good

 

[accu35]

This could do well for us MS/Al folks with a low tracking through the state and tracking NE. Hope we can trend little further south for everyone else.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Yuck, I get a couple of inches while Roxboro gets a foot
View attachment 100767

Remember we got consistent 70s for the past few weeks … flakes flying would be a blessing

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yeah the NW trend is happening

 

[Avalanche]

I dunno, I feel pretty good where I am. I’d be worried if I south of 40 though but then again, climo.

Of not ypur area, definately for Roxboro int southern VA. That deformation band will be king as it pivots on off.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Not good

View attachment 100769

Looks fine for MID NC up deform band will hit us regardless .. we just shouldn’t expect any big accumulation

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

MA has to be salivating. Ridge been trending strong along with the upper low. Tracks right down I40.

View attachment 100765

Im definitely loving the amped solutions. Gonna be some insane rates here in the mountains