• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

accu35 said:
18z was actually better for us west folks
Click to expand...
It was
Myfrotho704_ said:
man this setup really interests me with that comma head/deformation zone, shows up nicely on the euro, that’s what I’m banking on here and what many should watch, with a strengthening and formidable 1000/999mb mid latitude cyclone View attachment 100839View attachment 100840View attachment 100838View attachment 100841View attachment 100842
Click to expand...

Myfrotho704_ said:
Lol the snow is gonna be like cement, gonna be hard to accumulate, those ratios suck
Click to expand...

Stormlover said:
10 to 11 tonight, a two inch band in one hour from huntsville to birmingham
1641186000-FM8J74FsA1o.png
Click to expand...
That gonna move through the shoals firsr?
 
Well GFS is consistent in showing a snow hole here in Surry county, and along the foothills, NW flow is eating the moisture up, and pooling it up just to our east. These type of events can produce wild swings over small areas .
 
Bsud said:
I'm just wondering due to the lack of Cold air to support snow in the Upstate, if those areas could see sleet? I'm speaking of North of 85. Below there I think has no chance at anything frozen.

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
The problem in Greenville is you're too warm at the surface. There is no significant subzero layer to create sleet as well.
 
DarkKnight said:
12z Canadian total. View attachment 101146
Click to expand...

I am truly starting to wonder how much better this can trend for us. EVERY single run is slowly ticking higher and higher. Each HRRR seems to get a tad stronger and slower at the end. We truly may get a surprise. I mean these bright yellow colors turning to snow is going to make for some heavy snow. This could be the heaviest I have seen fall. I am all in for a surprise.
 
Bsud said:
If this were to verify then why does folks think It won't do anything in upstate? I understand no accumulation but this would definitely bring Snow Falling across upstate north of 85

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I'm not saying it can't happen but no where in SC below 3000ft is there a sounding below freezing until the moisture is gone. I've pulled soundings from all over and just haven't seen it.
 
Oconeexman said:
I'm not saying it can't happen but no where in SC below 3000ft is there a sounding below freezing until the moisture is gone. I've pulled soundings from all over and just haven't seen it.
Click to expand...
But yet the models keep showing the snow line down into the upstate as posted above

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
 
BullCityWx said:
Okay, the problem if you're not in Travelers Rest or on Sassafrass Mountain is the column isnt supportive of anything but rain. You're at 40/40 during the height.
Click to expand...
I'm in Northern near Hwy 11

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
 
Bsud said:
But yet the models keep showing the snow line down into the upstate as posted above

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
That's an ensemble and it's a clown map. Unless a clown map shows snow down below 85 then I wouldn't put a lot of stock in it.
 
BullCityWx said:
I just dont see how your column can trend to anything significant.
Click to expand...
I haven't been talking about anything "Significant" I've just said that areas above 85 could see Flakes flying. I know there will be Nothing "Significant"

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
 
The trends for Alabama have been incredible the past 36 hours. I said this had northeast AL written all over it, and I’m sticking to it. Somewhere between I20 and the state line, east of I65 is going to get plastered….I’m calling 6+ of actual accumulation with major travel issues on Monday.
 
Oconeexman said:
I'm not saying it can't happen but no where in SC below 3000ft is there a sounding below freezing until the moisture is gone. I've pulled soundings from all over and just haven't seen it.
Click to expand...
and if there was a way to find a snow column, this man would've found it.
 
DadOfJax said:
The trends for Alabama have been incredible the past 36 hours. I said this had northeast AL written all over it, and I’m sticking to it. Somewhere between I20 and the state line, east of I65 is going to get plastered….I’m calling 6+ of actual accumulation with major travel issues on Monday.
Click to expand...
I know it’s a total different setup, but that foot of snow we got a couple years ago the first week of Dec was a total surprise to everyone. It was a narrow area that got it I think. I’m in NW Paulding in GA and we got a foot lol
 
This might be a stretch but I do wonder if warmer soil temps (widespread upper 50s/low 60s) could mean a slightly warmer BL then modeled for many areas
 
Bsud said:
I haven't been talking about anything "Significant" I've just said that areas above 85 could see Flakes flying. I know there will be Nothing "Significant"

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
GSP actually has rain and snow mixed in the forecast for tomorrow morning all the way down into the city of Greenville. IF that happened places like TR, Landrum, and maybe Pickens could possibly go over to all snow for a little while.
 
These ULLs seem to be our best snows here in N central AL. They aren’t our biggest but I like our chances. The dynamic cooling is very much needed to get snow. Especially with the marginal (for a snow storm) cold setup.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
JHS said:
GSP actually has rain and snow mixed in the forecast for tomorrow morning all the way down into the city of Greenville. IF that happened places like TR, Landrum, and maybe Pickens could possibly go over to all snow for a little while.
Click to expand...
Looks like a Nov 1 2014 type snow! - the 5” in TR
 
South Carolina upstate. I wouldn’t at all be surprised to see maybe 1/2-1 north of highway 11. South of there maybe a novelty flake while your asleep.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Philconnors said:
These ULLs seem to be our best snows here in N central AL. They aren’t our biggest but I like our chances. The dynamic cooling is very much needed to get snow. Especially with the marginal (for a snow storm) cold setup.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
This has AL surprise snow written all over it. Not as confident for GA but i think someone in AL will get 6".
 
JHS said:
GSP actually has rain and snow mixed in the forecast for tomorrow morning all the way down into the city of Greenville. IF that happened places like TR, Landrum, and maybe Pickens could possibly go over to all snow for a little while.
Click to expand...
You can't tell some of these people that.

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
 
DadOfJax said:
The trends for Alabama have been incredible the past 36 hours. I said this had northeast AL written all over it, and I’m sticking to it. Somewhere between I20 and the state line, east of I65 is going to get plastered….I’m calling 6+ of actual accumulation with major travel issues on Monday.
Click to expand...
Just out of curiosity, is there some scientific formula or something out there that deals with how much snow it takes to cool down ground temps before it starts to stick? I just find it hard to believe that 6 inches would be enough to cause travel issues with ground temps so warm. Not saying your wrong by any means, I am hoping it happens. But I have my doubts.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top