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Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

Those are wind chill warnings, in the northern Plains, real feel -45F. Current. Surprised by the lack of 36hr lead products winter type in the SE/MA, mountains in particular.F6173BF2-67E0-4F16-BC07-AAA1DED01E94.png
 
I’ve been watching this one from the shadows, these last few runs are going to make me have a heart attack.. I’m camping out tomorrow night at 2800 ft hopefully we will get a quicker changeover!
Be safe! And arrive early

For those chasing, this is a monster dry slot ripping through the southern coastal plain, sloppy, convective in nature, mature, punch the mid level triple point by about 20-30 miles NW. it does happen overnight, I stand by 990 off the VA Capes.
 
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Curious where that axis will be that gets the front end snow and stays through the deformation exiting.

CLT to DOV, RIC in particular, snow level crashes pretty rapidly below 1000 feet, 2500 feet is solid through the mountains, and it goes to snow at the coast in NE NC, and north of there heavily.
 
CLT to DOV, RIC in particular, snow level crashes pretty rapidly below 1000 feet, 2500 feet is solid through the mountains, and it goes to snow at the coast in NE NC, and north of there heavily.
But in some of those locations it begins as rain, Id like to know who gets front end snow and remains throughout duration. Id think Roanoke area gets front end and gets the deformation. Sure it will be heavier on east, but you lose some to "crashing the column"
 
00z euro
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Thoughts on good chasing locations? Thinking about getting a place to stay for a few days around Sugar mountain
 
I stand corrected, it's running now and honestly through hour 15 I can't tell much of a difference between the 00z and the 06z. Other than more precip in South Carolina at hr 15.
 
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EST /7 AM CST/ MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches.

* WHERE...Portions of east Tennessee.

* WHEN...From 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ this evening to 8 AM EST /7 AM CST/ Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. &&
 
Fort Smith AR radar is starting to blossom east.

60E4702F-12EF-4662-85F0-7ACE7B9D1EAA.png027BE84A-3D8F-4B88-AE5F-5C2A60F65E99.png

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
423 AM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

NCZ053-021730-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0001.220103T0300Z-220103T1700Z/
Buncombe-
Including the city of Asheville
423 AM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 3
inches across Asheville and vicinity, with amounts up to 5
inches at the highest elevations. Winds gusting as high as 40
mph.

* WHERE...Buncombe County.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to noon EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain is expected to change over to snow at
high elevations late this evening, and then down to the valleys
after midnight. A few pockets of brief freezing rain are
possible during the transition, but all the precipitation should
change to snow by the early morning hours. Although the ground
is relatively warm because of the recent warm temperatures, the
snow is expected to fall hard enough to accumulate even on
roads. The snow may linger into the middle part of the morning
along the Tennessee border, but slippery roads may persist
through the remainder of the morning hours, with temperatures
below freezing through noon.
 
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I don't see that happening but I think it trends better for everyone. I think it slows down enough to get more Cold air wrapped into it.

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The GOAT has spoken for the Upstate DE3BA4C5-6FB5-4ED8-A215-31EE31F13886.png
 
Latest GFS drops over 4 inches in Jefferson county and BHM doesn’t even have the advisory down into Jefferson. I know they can add it and are always conservative to start, but I’ve woken up mad. They will get an egg on the face I hope
 
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