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Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

Can’t say these trends aren’t discouraging but at the end of the day the pattern as a whole is looking good later on for us to score something better than a paste bomb on warm ground so at least that’s something to look forward to
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
While the rap looks a tad more amped, it actually looks like it’s digging more south this run in texas , let’s see what it does
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And I would think the more amped it is the More Cold air it would pull in, which only helps as it moves east.

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ForsythSnow said:
Those trends for us in AL and GA keep getting better. I guess as it gets more amped the wrap around becomes more intense and the cold air can really get into the heavier precip and deform band.
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Looking a lot better up your way for sure. Still holding a little hope for the intown crowd but I think we’re going to be lucky to see a few flakes.
 
Still trying to figure out the totals for the balsam mountain ridge tops. Clown maps showing warning criteria but it looks really quick hitting by the time the Temps crash and no nw flow to speak of on Monday. Not sure it can get out of advisory criteria, but ill take whatever at this point.. Get the feeling this is a pattern change storm that we just need to get through for better things to come the next few weeks.
 
I'm just wondering if the Models are having trouble with this Due to all the severe weather to the West. We may see them really pick up on things tomorrow after those storms move through.

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believe a third of what models are showing then half of that and we will be fine with a slushy mess. We can always dream
 
This is unreal. The NAM sniffed this out for our area from the beginning and now the gfs and rap have joined the party with 2-3+ inches of snow falling in the Birmingham area. Notice I said “falling”. But we 100% will have some accumulation in the grass and elevated surfaces if these verify.

Don’t even want to get into what could happen if this thing trends stronger back to our west. I’m getting 3/1/09 vibes.
 
Storm5 said:
High res models trending much better for areas to the west . Every single minute this slows down helps areas west of the mountains.


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Yea it’s showing like 4-6 inches. If you cut them totals in half because of warm ground. You are still getting 2-4 inches.
 
Tomorrow we are going to really see this thing slow down to the point where this becomes an event to remember for all of us.
 
Stephenb888 said:
Tomorrow we are going to really see this thing slow down to the point where this becomes an event to remember for all of us.
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I don't see that happening but I think it trends better for everyone. I think it slows down enough to get more Cold air wrapped into it.

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JHS said:
Upstate SC is out of this one and it could be a long time before the Carolinas get another chance.
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Seriously? Have you even looked at the long range and at the Pattern change that's happening after this storm? There's several shots between now and mid Jan. And that includes the upstate

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