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Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

Tarheel1 said:
They are like Asheville and a whole different climo. And 3% of Greenville residents live there. Jimmy won’t see a flake
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If I'm correct he is even below 85. The upstate is so confusing the way its split up. I'm in the NW corner 4 miles South of 11 and I'd be really surprised if I don't see flakes falling from this.

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Tarheel1 said:
I can tell you from experience, SC Upstate won’t get a flake with that look! Only time I’ve seen changeover to snow work is March 1,09! And that bowling ball came from Canada with its own cold
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Facts! Now if we can get a south jog of about 100 miles that could bring some of the mountains in play up my way. But the trend has def been just the opposite of that. Seen it 100 times the low zips through and cold rushes in behind it with zero moisture left.
 
Oconeexman said:
Facts! Now if we can get a south jog of about 100 miles that could bring some of the mountains in play up my way. But the trend has def been just the opposite of that. Seen it 100 times the low zips through and cold rushes in behind it with zero moisture left.
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But the last couple runs has slowed it down some.

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Oconeexman said:
Possibly Landrum and blacksburg...possibly
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Even hwy 11 north in Oconee and pickens I'd bet sees Flakes. You ride to top of Sassafras Monday morning and you tell me what's it's doing, even anywhere around Rocky bottom for that matter.



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Bsud said:
But the last couple runs has slowed it down some.

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And the cold is lagging behind with it. Believe I want to see it as bad as anyone and we have tomorrow for minor changes. But the more amped this thing gets with the low track the less likely I am to see a flake here.
 
Ray slowly coming around for the high country:

“A fast-moving, secondary disturbance forms behind the front and moves across the Southern Appalachians and moves toward the Mid-Atlantic. Rain returns late Sunday; then precipitation changes to snow showers lalte Sunday night. Snow showers end Monday morning. With the Saturday evening update I'm nervously raising the snow ante slightly (generally 1"-3" with a bit more up top). Stay tuned since computer guidance still varies greatly. Winds become gusty late Sunday night.”
 
I guess the recent models have Spann going beyond flurries for his forecast



SNOW??? We won't be able to really focus on this until the severe weather threat ends after midnight, but models are now suggesting a disturbance will bring a cold rain to the northern half of the state tomorrow afternoon, followed by a chance to show tomorrow night.

This is beyond the snow flurries mentioned in previous forecasts. But, needless to say ground temperatures are very warm, and it will be very hard to get meaningful accumulation. I will discuss this situation in greater detail early tomorrow.

Never a dull moment around here.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Love it. Great place to spend a winter weekend. Love Maggie valley. Cataloochee will do just fine this week.
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We go there at least twice a winter and once during the summer. My favorite storm to experience up there was the December 18, 2009 storm. We got up there the evening before it hit, and the next day and night just got absolutely plastered. Maggie Valley kept full snow cover that winter from that storm into the first week of March
 
Bsud said:
Even hwy 11 north in Oconee and pickens I'd bet sees Flakes. You ride to top of Sassafras Monday morning and you tell me what's it's doing, even anywhere around Rocky bottom for that matter.



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Sure up 178 just like 107 will likely have a change over. That's a huge elevation difference more than 2500ft above where most folks live. That's why I'm going up 107 toward Cashiers to see it. The northern mountains of the upstate have a chance but the upstate not the mountains right now does not imo
 
Oconeexman said:
Sure up 178 just like 107 will likely have a change over. That's a huge elevation difference more than 2500ft above where most folks live. That's why I'm going up 107 toward Cashiers to see it. The northern mountains of the upstate have a chance but the upstate not the mountains right now does not imo
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That's the reason I've always said 85 and below shouldn't even be considered the upstate. Only North of 85 should be considered upstate.

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