Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[LovingGulfLows]

No gonna lie that pretty far south, should start to pivot very soon... unbelievable this still ends up going through western NC, jeez

Yeah if I looked at something like that and didn't have any idea where the models were taking this thing. I'd think much of the South would be in for a big snow.

 

[EastMSweatherguy]

O

3k nam


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i will cash out right friggin now in meridian,ms!

 

[RBR71]

3k NAM a little earlier with precip and a little colder, this isn't much I know but it's a slight shift and improvement.

 

[RBR71]

Oof

 

[Snowflowxxl]

1z HRRR is a little stronger with the CAD around ATL, get frozen ITP.

 

[Rain Cold]

3k NAM a little earlier with precip and a little colder, this isn't much I know but it's a slight shift and improvement.

View attachment 106299

It's pretty significant farther east. 3k gives Wake about 8 hours of frozen precip. Not too shabby.

 

[KyloG]

I assume we are hugging the HRRR tonight? How does that usually work out…

 

[accu35]

Robert now calling for what we’ve been seeing on the HRRR

What are the white dot lines?

 

[CaryWx]

Tells me for Wake we stay sleet a little longer and reduce the zr window. Rain window doesn't change though. Hence a smaller zr window

 

[KyloG]

I’m hugging

 

[Snownut]

I assume we are hugging the HRRR tonight? How does that usually work out…

View attachment 106301

How can you not? It's been trending like this all day, all right within its wheelhouse

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[SD]

Oof

View attachment 106300

Talked myself out of buying a generator today. Knew this would start happening

 

[CaryWx]

Talked myself out of buying a generator today. Knew this would start happening

Yeah, zr window reducing to sleet window looks like. At least for our area

 

[SD]

Yeah, zr window reducing to sleet window looks like. At least for our area

I hope so. Give me all the Sleet looks like no matter what we are above freezing by mid afternoon

 

[FamouslyHot]

Some reports reaching the ground. Looks like snow/ice is about 1800 feet above Georgia

 

[Honeygrl]

The radar has shown rain over Athens, Ga for a while now but nothing has fallen yet.

 

[BufordWX]

Definitely starting to see those winds going up. Let’s see where things go in the next few hours. 41/33 right now.

 

[RBR71]

Still looks breezy tomorrow

 

[Arcc]

Snow Depth is not a good tool IMO. I've seen it bust WAY too low several times. In 2017 it had Cobb county at 2 inches and some places got over 10. It thinks a warm ground will eat everything.

Kuchera or regular are the way to go

Yep, never a good tool. Kuchera has been bad quite a bit as well.

 

[SnowNiner]

I’m hugging

View attachment 106302

Kuchera anyone? Hoping it keeps the same theme of pushing a bit more into clt region. I'm hugging awkwardly long and inappropriately where it will contact HR and complain.

 

[BullCityWx]

It looks like most of the triangle could get into a dusting to half an inch late Sunday Night-Early Monday Morning.

 

[Zander98al]

Looks like the surface low is around the gulf shores Alabama area.

 

[Stephenb888]

I feel like some of us are on a fine line between no work on Monday and crying on the way to work. I prefer no work.

 

[Zander98al]

Supposedly sleet being mixed in with rain in the far northern counties of alabama

 

[Spurs up]

41/26 ?‍

 

[DustinWx]

Oof

View attachment 106300

Lights out for the upstate forsure

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

Looks like the surface low is around the gulf shores Alabama area.View attachment 106304

Somebody give it a map to Jackonville!

 

[Deleted member 609]

I’m hugging

View attachment 106302

I hope this is right. The freezing rain maps here look awful.

 

[TheBatman]

I know this thing needs to start wrapping up or the low needs to transfer. The returns out west in Arkansas doesn’t look good

 

[SD]

I know this thing needs to start wrapping up or the low needs to transfer. The returns out west in Arkansas doesn’t look good

Wut

 

[Stormlover]

I know this thing needs to start wrapping up or the low needs to transfer. The returns out west in Arkansas doesn’t look good

things overperformed in Arkansas from what I've heard

 

[jjwxman]

DP's are steadily falling. Now 34/16 in Randleman, NC.

 

[cd2play]

41/26 ?‍

41/26=1.577.

 

[NCSNOW]

Talked myself out of buying a generator today. Knew this would start happening

Home depot G boro I
Counted 13 checking out while I was there. 850 a piece. Had mine 21 yrs., bought day after crusher. Paid 600 with tax at lowes back then. So they've stayed in check somewhat price wise. Changed plug out today. Still chiming. Thing been lifesaver, espeacilly back 2000, 2002 ice to name a couple. Gets cheaper every storm.

Hopefully sleet saves day for alot of folks.

 

[Rain Cold]

Still looks breezy tomorrow

Anybody know if the NAM wind maps are even in the ballpark? I know the Euro maps are awful, but I don't know about the others. My guess is it's too high. But even gusts into the 40s are nothing to sneeze at.

 

[Stormlover]

Our forecast here is less than an inch. An average of recent models shows almost 6

 

[TheBatman]

WutView attachment 106305

This what I am talking about. Scares me a little.

 

[SnowNiner]

Looks like the surface low is around the gulf shores Alabama area.View attachment 106304

Gulf low. Nice. It's moving due east isn't it? Shouldn't this thing be making a B line for the apps soon?

 

[NCSNOW]

Anybody know if the NAM wind maps are even in the ballpark? I know the Euro maps are awful, but I don't know about the others. My guess is it's too high. But even gusts into the 40s are nothing to sneeze at.

Met posted maps from 3 diff models, all had gust in 50s here. Crazy

 

[accu35]

This what I am talking about. Scares me a little. View attachment 106307View attachment 106308

This thing really starts wrapping up as it heads towards MS