Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[Rain Cold]

37/20 wind NE 4

 

[SimeonNC]

39.6/26.1

 

[RBR71]

37/20 wind NE 4

31/16 but I suspect that DP is too high, everywhere else up this way single digits

 

[jackendrickwx]

Goodness KHNZ 28/9

 

[StormStalker]

43/43 rain.

 

[Psalm 148:8]

The system is occluding(trying to stack the surface low vertically on the bottom of the upper level low)....that's how you get a double barrel low.

Ok… so what effects does this typically produce in a storm? Stronger, weaker, more or less moisture? Still can’t figure out how this thing Is cutting up through the wedge.

 

[iGRXY]

HRRR is keeping the northern half of Greenville, Spartanburg, and the NW sections of Cherokee county snow for roughly 8 hours in that initial wave.

 

[Benholio]

0z HRRR a tick south through hour 13

 

[DopplerWx]

Latest HRRR keeping upstate thru Charlotte snow on the fronto band still. Getting excited now.

 

[JLL1973]

Last two HRRR runs are not good for north ms. Looks like it’s started it’s northward trend

 

[ontherocks]

Just had a 26.8 mph gust and good grief, didn’t think winds were suppose to really pick up till we’ll after midnight. That may lend some credence to some of those higher indicated gusts if this is how we are starting…..?

ETA: make that 30.9!

 

[jackendrickwx]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Lights snow outside of Hendersonville

 

[RBR71]

Dang it HRRR up to almost 2" here, not gonna happen and I'm not falling for it nope nope nope

 

[malak05]

HRRR is going HAM on the backside ULL in N. AL and parts of Central AL

 

[Jlaw0097]

26.2°F
N wind 1.3mph
Extreme SW Mitchell County, NC
snowing steadily now for the last hour or so, road leading to the cabin covered in places

 

[Deleted member 609]

Dang it HRRR up to almost 2" here, not gonna happen and I'm not falling for it nope nope nope

Yea it also has 8 inches in southern upstate. Hard to believe it.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

For tracking the SLP structure, I find enabling the windstream barbs from the layers tab to be quite useful. It clearly shows the main SLP near Mobile currently and the occluded extension to the NW in Missippi south of Memphis.

WunderMap® | Interactive Weather Map and Radar | Weather Underground

Weather Underground’s WunderMap provides interactive weather and radar Maps for weather conditions for locations worldwide.

www.wunderground.com

 

[Ron Burgundy]

W

Snowline is literally right on my house at this time with 45+ dbz returns. Please please plase be cold enough for some flakes.

Which model do you prefer?

 

[Stormlover]

HRR through 4pm

 

[accu35]

Last two HRRR runs are not good for north ms. Looks like it’s started it’s northward trend

If anything 0z looks south than 18z

 

[Snownut]

HRRR is keeping the northern half of Greenville, Spartanburg, and the NW sections of Cherokee county snow for roughly 8 hours in that initial wave.

Chris Justice is leaning very heavy on a warm nose taking over fairly quickly. I haven't seen anything today pointing toward that. In fact as you said everything leaning to more Snow for longer period.

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[YetAnotherRDUGuy]

35/15, but it seems colder than that.

 

[ColdCoreLow]

If anything 0z looks south than 18z

Main band of snow has definitely moved south the last few runs in AL

 

[iGRXY]

That's a lot for a snow depth after switching to sleet for a few hours.

 

[JLL1973]

If anything 0z looks south than 18z

The rain snow line has definitely went north in the last two runs. Precip is much lower also. The low is probably pivoting at that time also

 

[Catfish]

How accurate is the HRR? Literally showing 6+ in N Fulton, NE Cobb and Cherokee Counties in GA.

QUOTE="Stormlover, post: 518085, member: 199"]
HRR through 4pm

[/QUOTE]

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

Would a Met please chime in and tell us whether these HRRR runs are plausible or not. The model is sticking to it's guns and has been really consistent on that front end thump.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

0z HRRR a tick south through hour 13

Wait until you see the latest accumulated snowfall for Cumming.

 

[Jessy89]

Let’s see if the 00z nam catches on


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[Stormlover]

hrrr just pivots around and buries the huntsville area

 

[Flo]

hrrr just pivots around and buries the huntsville area View attachment 106290

It’s amazing this can’t whip around and give CAE some love.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

I hope the south metro can see accumulating snowfall ?. They haven't had anything since 2018.

 

[LovingGulfLows]

hrrr just pivots around and buries the huntsville area View attachment 106290

Wow that shows some heavy snowbands about to rotate over my backyard at around 4 pm tomorrow. Might sneak a couple of inches on the backside with that look.

 

[DadOfJax]

Let’s see if the 00z nam catches on


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You can toss the globals….hi res models are all that matter.

 

[LukeBarrette]

View attachment 106283
View attachment 106284
View attachment 106285
That's a lot for a snow depth after switching to sleet for a few hours.

Increased totals here in VA aswell

 

[Jessy89]

You can toss the globals….hi res models are all that matter.

3k nam is high res isn’t it? Also Rap is warmer then HRRR


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[LukeBarrette]

You can toss the globals….hi res models are all that matter.

Nam is a hi-res model?

 

[Zander98al]

Hmm a winter storm warning may need to go into effect for parts of north and Central Alabama. Wether the nws will pull the trigger who knows. Such a fine line between nothing and something.

 

[iGRXY]

Robert now calling for what we’ve been seeing on the HRRR