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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

DLI4SCwx said:
I know SLP location is pivotal, as well as the HP placement and strength. Having said that, what would lend itself to a solution like the Ukie runs from yesterday?
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I think those UKMET runs AFTER they started coming North were probably sleet/zr on the snow maps. The weak suppressed runs were likely snow though. You need a traditional Miller-A traveling across North Central Florida and not trying to track inland over GA/parts of SC to get appreciable snow for the duration of the event. Basically a much less amped wave, a neutral tilt later than shown etc.

Edit: i'm speaking about the Midlands.
 
icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_30.png
 
That's going to keep
ForsythSnow said:
Seems like the ICON is thermally colder back deeper into GA and SC and surely not a Miller B anymore. Still transfers but this is trending toward a Miller A now as the transfer distance is decreasing.
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No not at all that track is definitely a Hybrid A/B and leaning more toward A you love to see it!
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Look at the 50/50 low trend !! Wow, and the associated 540 line moving more south View attachment 104766View attachment 104767
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Awesome; and this GIF Kylo posted shows it well too. You can really see the effect that last frame has with the 50/50 closer to the coast and stronger. As soon as that comes into frame you can really see the lines crash SW! Fantastic trend!
iconlsp-gif.104765
 
Shouldn’t a a more southerly low track allow for a more intensified CAD? Curious as to why we’re not seeing that.


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The dbz between Charlotte and Badin lake are nothing to sneeze at at hr 90
 
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