Ron Burgundy
Member
Same. And check out the blob over Hartsfield-Jackson! ?
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
bigstick10
Member
The winds in ATL are going to be insane, they are telling people to sleep in the basement????
Sup
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Again the HRRR is really dumping buckets of snow over central Alabama tommorow morning. Would not be shocked for a winter storm warning for portions of central Alabama. These trends are ridiculous. With these snow rates even if it's a degree or two above freezing. It's going to stick.
iGRXY
Member
Another thing to remember is models spit out precip types based soundings. A lot of those soundings that are sleet are so close to snow soundings that it will be snow under heavy returns and this stuff is going to be dumping especially with FGEN forcing.
These trends man….wonder if the hrrr is on to something. Usually we see these trend tbe opposite direction as we get closer.
ALHammerWx
Member
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Thought I would share for us Alabama crew.
Snownut
Member
And that's why I can't understand why locals are downplaying totals. Some has went down from 4-8" to 1-3" I'm confused at what they are thinking
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Bruh the trends won’t stop, it’s still trending colder at verification, this might imply sleet lasting longer I-85 and Nw longer, and that front end snow band over performing 
jay.p
Member
The radar is showing moderate snow in the obx right now around the kitty hawk area 
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Usually GSP will include wind headlines in there WSW and not do a separate advisory for wind
Riding the RGEM to the grave. HRRRR looks very good as well. Transfer is going to be a killer no doubt but when isn’t it. 
Snowflowxxl
Member
Got my pizza and beer, let’s roll. Sitting at 42/31
Jimmy, we are getting hammered. I just cooked a big pot of spaghetti and am about to throw some French bread in the oven. Just popped a Pilsner and I’ll be sipping fine bourbon when little man goes to bed.
I’m shooting hard for double digits. Also extremely intrigued by what the models are showing back home. This system has some tricks up it’s sleeve
bingcrosbyb
Member
Still seeing P-type issues in areas without the heavy precipitation. Just a Mess since we don’t have a cold airmass in place (*cough cough next week*). Model is trying to resolve cooling, but is struggling. Could easily be all rain In areas shown in blue south of I-20.
Henderson the first to drop below 10F on DPs. All the way to 30/9
Lee County AL
Member
What are P type issues ?
Dawgdaze22
Member
In Hiawassee at 39/29. Can anyone tell me if this is good?
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Cary_Snow95
Member
37.2/22.1 in Cary
Chattownsnow
Member
We are also seeing DP's below 10 just across the VA border.
DadOfJax
Member
I would caution you that the RGEM is about the worst thing to hang your hat on. It has been plum awful with verification so far for this event.
Speaking of GSP they totally removed any mention of snow out of the forecast, at least in Charlotte.
http://www.usawx.com/icestormindex.htm so with wind of over 40mph, this will create far worse conditions even if ice is moderate
DadOfJax
Member
Still south……
Lol got a IP report right on the Braves stadium
Another one Tallapoosa GA near the AL line. Dry air at onset allowing for this I imagine
Cary_Snow95
Member
Dews beginning to drop. Down to 37/21
And another one! Up near Dalohnega, rn/sn report
Really?.. I haven’t pulled the city’s point forecast but that’s surprising. I went back and read their afternoon discussion again and there was actually no mention of any models. All that is said is there is a trend continuing to more ice accrual. I’ve been reading discussions from GSP for as long as I’ve had access to the internet, 25 years or more, and I’ve never known them not mention what short range models are showing as an event is drawing near.
Someone asked about wind maps
Do you happen to know how well the 3kNAM does with wind? I know that wind always is overdone on models, but the storm on 1/3 they actually seemed to be fairly accurate.., of course there was a sting jet coming into the backside of that system, and we don’t seem to have anything like that here
NCWeatherhound
Member
At 7 p.m. 36/24 in central Harnett Co. Winds from the northeast 8 mph. Dang it feels and smell like snow here! Just wish it did about a mile overhead.
I always say knock 10 or 15 off but yeah they were fairly accurate with that storm. To me they show the potential and if the ingredients line up that's what you could get
Jessy89
Member
My thoughts on the front in thump. I think the hrrr is on to something however I’m not buying the high high totals in upstate. I think 2-3 maybe 4 inches is a good prediction north of 85. Because when this snow falls it’s gonna stick right away. Even if it’s snow for only 3 hrs could be snow longer then that. But even 3hrs it wouldn’t take that long to get 2-3 inches.
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