UKMET has come north, but not nearly as amped or north as the rest of this evening's model suites. EMCF to follow its lead?
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
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Snowflowxxl
Member
UK keeps trending north. It will be gone on it by this time tomorrow so enjoy your color maps for now
Canadian transfers through SC.way futher south than Gfs op
If we could hold onto that look right right there, a lot of folks board wide would take it! Let's hope it doesn't keep trending more NW, in future runs (not likely) lol.
iGRXY
Member
UK is a prefect tract of the ULL coming across the south.
iGRXY
Member
UK was the southern most model up to this point. Odds that it was going to come north to aN extent should’ve been expected
Quite the storm on the UKMET.
iGRXY
Member
But we’re building a stronger 50/50 with more confluence which is pulling it further south and slowing it down some and building in stronger HP. It’s a trade off really
Folks the UKMET was the trailer here. The lead is the GFS ops albeit probably not fully correct on that last run. It's driving the change and movement for all the others it seems so far. Has it stopped yet? I'm not so sure.
Some are asking for details on where to select their booking for this weekend. Here’s the calm dry wind during the height of the storm flexing its muscles against the warm nose. Likely all heavy snow in the white shaded dead zone. Possible spots to pick would be Beech Mountain, Sparta, western Surry/Wilkes and select areas south into the GSP forecast area albeit narrow near the mountains. ? Oh and Virginia. 
Stormlover
Member
Not driving the Euro. And the GFS is nothing to put your faith in as leading the others.
Jessy89
Member
Can I just remind everyone we are still 4 days out
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accu35
Member
I think the track will be between the gfs and UK tbh
carolinachaos
Member
When is the next model running? About to call it a night.
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Stormlover
Member
Euro starts in less than an hour
0z Euro @ 1 AM
Yup. Maybe mods can start moving weenie snow maps going forward into the whamby thread. This could be a serious situation for the Charlotte metro. Mountains can handle snow.
If this turns Miller B I honestly would expect CAD to hold strong most of the event unfortunately this increases ice storm potential but still a lot to go with this one. I would lean front end thump and hope to score then prepare for sleet and freezing rain
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Bruh
So that Mexico high jumped out to me as well. I think that last frame, 0z run, could be showing the low before the transfer, whereas the previous frames are showing it after. If that's the case it has slowed a bit. It also appears the high over Mexico, which has formed and expanded, is helping push our low a bit North, along with a slightly weaker pressing high over NE. I don't know if that high is showing up on other models or not. You'll notice it's also pushed the low over N Mexico North as well.
Another feature is the Canadian low has rotated clockwise around our NE high and our storm low has followed suit. With those peices the output makes more sense, but is it right?
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well...the GFS gets a lot of hate and it's not the best model, but have to admit this trend is completely solid...slowing down
Euro is running. This one feels important. Good luck everyone 
Jan88
Member
Euro 1am est
Looks a touch slower than the 12z thru 60
smidgen SW and slower a very slow tad...all in all so far about the same as 12z run *hr 84*
Snowflowxxl
Member
Little north @ 90
BufordWX
Member
HR96, slightly SW vs 12z and not as tilted Neutral yet either
Very similar to its 12z run
Snowflowxxl
Member
850s are much warmer here. The terrible trends continue
BufordWX
Member
not going to be nearly as good of a run for some in GA. Looks like gonna Miller B now....EHHHH
Stormlover
Member
very odd
at 500 mb can see a clear N move all around from 12z
........................waives bye bye to my North....Well ----....I figured it was coming *MBY* but worse run for most
better for TN and WNC this run from what I can tell. Nice hit for NGA into Upstate, but if it trends any further north....it will be an icy mess to rain for sure. Bama this run was def. worse.
better for TN and WNC this run from what I can tell. Nice hit for NGA into Upstate, but if it trends any further north....it will be an icy mess to rain for sure. Bama this run was def. worse.
Still very bad ice storm for midlands of SC. I
GG. I can finally get some rest over this week. Whew