Stormlover
Member
cashing in the euro
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Amazing the trends for TN; this is really developing into a historic winter for them! ?
Storm5
Member
cashing in the euro
Why would you cash that in when it can trend better ?
In all seriousness the SE trend continues . Will be interesting to see if it continues over the next few cycles or if we get the normal NW shift . Either way looks much better up that way and to the NW
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Do you think this will move further south during Sunday Morning...surprise this is not freezing rain.
Showmeyourtds
Member
So no one would see it (sans the jokers on this board) & by the time everyone wakes up, we're in the dry slot with the sun shining and the concrete melted.
Ron Burgundy
Member
Possible snownado in Henry Co.cashing in the euro
Showmeyourtds
Member
Perhaps its nothing, but perhaps its something....Lest we forget the eye candy from Tuesday @ 12z
BufordWX
Member
It does show the snow moving further south a bit through mid morning before retreating north in the late morning. One other interesting thing about the euro is that is has been trending towards much lower ice totals across north Georgia then it did 24 hours ago.
Compare today’s run:
With yesterday’s 12z Euro:
Of course we will have to see if this continues or reverses as we get closer. As well as what other models show.
NCSNOW
Member
Im wondering if anyone can post a total sleet accum map. I;m guessing MBY is 3-4 snow, 1inch + genuine sleet, .25 frzng rn.
total qpf 1.5
The Euro Op and Canadian Op are west of 95 . Horrendous track for this one. All Globals inland west of the ens. But this one is pretty much set in stone. Just matter now of doing what I just attempted to do. Need the sleet. We never get higher than 26 at surface during storm here
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Thing to note for you weather weenies. Most of the snow won't stick immediately. Takes a bit for the ground to get cold enough, especially after the semi warm temps before. Unless we can get some heavy rain to heavy snow it won't stick immediately. Nonetheless any snow is good snow. Hoping everybody gets covered with some snow.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Rates will overcome all. We saw snow quickly accumulate last week after multiple 75 degree days
ChattaVOL
Member
GDOT just said on TWC they are going to start with brine on all roads North of I-20.
NCSNOW
Member
Jackpot is Boone, west Jefferson area: 20 inches per euro
ATLwxfan
Member
Well…I’m not sure I’ve seen this in a looooong time.
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This is going to be a whole different animal than the hot storm the other week, though. A lot of areas getting snow will be getting it with temps well below freezing. I think for many areas it shouldn’t have any issue sticking. Some areas will be seeing snow at 20F. I’ve seen snow at 20F before and it basically sticks immediately and is such a different experience to snow at 33F. Night and day, really!
Z
Zander98al
Guest
That's what I was saying unless we see some heavy snow it'll be hard to stick immediately
Stormlover
Member
I'm in the purple and close to pink...but I want you to get some too, so I'll wait to cash in ;-)
NoSnowATL
Member
Hopefully the onset of rain doesn’t wash it away like it always does.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
I'm mainly talking about central Alabama and the areas on the border of freezing temps lol. I should've said that. My bad
ChattaVOL
Member
Yeah they pretty much admitted if they get rain first then it’s going to be tough to keep control of the roads.
Oh, sorry, I was thinking more GA/SC/NC. My bad! I didn’t pay attention to your location!
NCSNOW
Member
ive never seen as hard a left turn as this one on euro and Can op. No bending , just staright on north. This is why I root for coastals.
NoSnowATL
Member
Brine is useless for ice storms. Just a waste of money and time but whatever.
JLL1973
Member
Canadian and euro crushes extreme north mississippj
BelmontWX79
Member
If it does it will be fascinating to watch from a meteorological perspective. Gonna be some crazy temp gradients along the coastal areas and maybe further inland.
snowplow
Member
IF the SE trend continues and then we get the famous NW shift at go time, this euro run may very well be close to the final product.
This is what I meant to say. I worded it wrong.
weather bubba
Member
That EURO ice accumulation map would mean "turn out the lights, the party is over" for the NC Triad, Sandhills, parts of the Triangle and northern South Carolina. I hope this storm trends differently as in more snow/less ice for these areas. A earlier and longer switch over to cold rain from frozen precipitation would be better than what is being modeled.
If you think we have the final answer 3-4 days out you are going to be sorely wrong. Do we really think the models (short range especially) won't change some in all that time. We know it will. Hopefully for the better for many
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Licking my chops for this 
Nerman
Member
Obv depends on where you're at but moisture will be moving into MS, TN in 48 hours. The HRRR running now should be interesting for those areas.
This is a big time clown map. Not very accurate
ChattaVOL
Member
The first flakes from our storm are now flying in Montana!
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Lol cause it's not kuchera? I didn't see that option on there
Yes. Here is a more accurate map
Jessy89
Member
It does look like the power out type of ice will be south of 85. Through the Carolinas and up through central NC. That seems like a noticeable Trend by euro especially
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Yeah other "accumulations" you saw on the other map was all ice whether it is sleet or freezing rain.. still a problematic set up just not due to snow
Stormlover
Member
Euro has me right at a foot
snowplow
Member
That 850 line pressing farther south on the 12z NAM and the 12z EURO makes a huge difference for SE Tn as snow totals go.
Eps? Control??