Don’t think it has the same argument as the gefs vs GFS as the EC control has the same exact grid space/resolution as the EPS members itselfThe 18z Euro Control looks just like the 18z GFS though as far as track.
Good to see you in here burrel...just in time with massive CAD moving in!Splitting hairs here but the 18z euro looks slightly more positively tilted compared to the 12z trough. Def more positive tilted than 18z gfs.
This looks better for MS/Al for sureEuro Control came north some View attachment 104078
Do you mind posting 12z vrs 18z? Thanks if you can.Euro Control came north some View attachment 104078
Euro Control came north some View attachment 104078
That would be a little morw in-line with the 2014 fab feb snow.Euro Control came north some View attachment 104078
If someone was making me lay down money, you are absolutely right.Webb may argue that the OP GFS may need to be taken seriously despite disagreements with its ensembles, but OP GFS vs GEFS & EPS? Idk chief. I’d like to hear his thoughts on that but I’d put money on EPS every time
The question basically boils down to: is this a resolution issue or is varying the initial conditions slightly somehow causing this? The fact there are still a handful of members well-inland makes me think it's something to do with the initial conditions.
The control itched north and that kind of discredits the explanation he made. Personally I’ve seen the GFS erode CAD and drive LP right through CAD for years now. This is exactly what I expect from it in this range.Webb may argue that the OP GFS may need to be taken seriously despite disagreements with its ensembles, but OP GFS vs GEFS & EPS? Idk chief. I’d like to hear his thoughts on that but I’d put money on EPS every time
Believe you have a solid hypothesis thereThe question basically boils down to: is this a resolution issue or is varying the initial conditions slightly somehow causing this? The fact there are still a handful of members well-inland makes me think it's something to do with the initial conditions.
If it was the oppsite. GFS off the coast and both sets of ens inland. The GFS op would be thrown out , no questions askedWebb may argue that the OP GFS may need to be taken seriously despite disagreements with its ensembles, but OP GFS vs GEFS & EPS? Idk chief. I’d like to hear his thoughts on that but I’d put money on EPS every time