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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Exactly. The issue we face here is that there isnt a lot of data sampling(which is a fancy way of saying there's a lack of information) over the pacific, which is where this is coming in from.
CMC tends to overdo the CAD a lot of times! It’s always the coldest solution, 98% of the time
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
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If I was a southern snow lover I would not pay attention to gfs/cmc. Euro should be fine next run
iGRXY
Member
Ehhh. Canadian is used for CAD out of the globals as it gets a better feel for it due to its cold bias. This is a legit CAD that we probably haven't seen since Feb 2014 so it's pretty realistic in my opinion.
Right now, all I can see is that a smoothed mean of every GEFS member has me with heavy snow and 22 degrees on Sunday Morning. Even if it does change over, which we all need to face is our typical climo event here, it's gonna put down 6"+ before that time even comes.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Isn’t suppression the bias of the UK until around this time frame?
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
I think that's a fantastic look for many at this range. Most likely those NW adjustments will be made and imagine a blend with this and the GFS/GEM!
MichaelJ
Member
EURO will likely come North compared to 6Z and more amped following the UKMET
??
Parker
Member
Really don’t care to ski. I found some cool places in highlands. I remember chasing to Maggie a few years ago and they got skunked and we stopped by highlands on the way up where they got several inches. Thanks for the advice.
Looks like a nice storm coming up!
Stormlover
Member
I'll take this one
This system has the makings to be one of the best winters storms most of us have seen in a long time. A classic winter storm with all precip types (minus cold rain) thank goodness, at play. Mostly snow for Upstate north, but I wouldn't be surprised to have some sleet/freezing rain with that snow as well, which will only add to the longevity of whatever snowfall accumulates. Definitely a lot of changes between now and Thursday/Friday. But unless something crazy occurs I can't foresee anything major that yanks this from under us. There are just too many things coming together at the right times for a lot of us not to score big. Then again, I am mearly an amateur.
Interesting, we have went from a clipper, to a dip -> Miller A look, to a dip even more SW and now a Miller B setup
sorry yalll.....sign me up for this...hahahaah
Cary_Snow95
Member
Love the high pressure nosing in on the 12z