Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Cary_Snow95]

View attachment 103583

Hmm more northern jackpot

 

[NCSNOW]

1980 was a major NC Blizzard. Also last time the Dawgs won a natty. History repeat? Stay tuned

 

[SENC]

Sea Temps are running about 10F ABOVE Normal this year.. Still in the Mid-60's.. exactly 65 right on the beach... (example) They are STILL catching Black Fin Tuna and Kings with-in 10 miles of the beach.. (unheard of this time of year)

 

[iGRXY]

QPF lowered likely due to much more cold air.

 

[BHS1975]

Didn’t someone post something a while back about sea surface temperatures .. if this stone has a way to tap into those warm water right off the coast maybe that could be a trigger to something big like this in some way

Yeah they are several degrees above normal in the gulf stream.


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[Cary_Snow95]

View attachment 103583

I’m assuming it’s still snowing here

 

[HKY1994]

Oddly enough the GEFS took a step back. Just can’t put stock in that extreme solution yet. Fun tracking though finally.


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[Myfrotho704_]

UKMET is suppressed to hell, with some light snow

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

IF the CAD is that strong, the low isn't going to just plow right through the middle of it. Let's not forget, the GFS isn't, shall we say, all that accurate with 6 day snowstorm placement.

Storm signal is there on the models. Pattern supports it. Cold air looks available. Overall, great news at this lead.

Only reason to be weary is if you have some ridging nudging into the southeast coast and we’re not seeing that here with that big PV in the Atlantic. This really is a great white Buffalo setup. The opportunity is there. No doubt about.

 

[griteater]

UKMet is way south

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

A lot more solutions were suppressed although did give out snow just not by nearly enough and was shunted south… these trends would actually be welcomed right now as we know at some point these models have to correct back the other way at least some what

 

[deltadog03]

Well GFS went all in, Euro your next……

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

UKMET is suppressed to hell, with some light snow View attachment 103585View attachment 103586

This might be the run of the night so far tbh. That’s beautiful.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I actually like this trend, one more slowing trend with the S/W and better tilt and boom

 

[deltadog03]

UKMet is way south

Yes!!

 

[griteater]

UKMet didn't interact with the Baja cutoff low....that's part of the winning formula we 'talked about' earlier

 

[CaryWx]

Yes, I'd say we're doing fine right now this far out

 

[Ollie Williams]

I haven’t noticed it so much recently, but I know that the UKMET used to have a suppression bias.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

UKMet is way south

You love to see it. That’s absolutely beautiful. This euro run is about to be interesting. Should favor the Ukie. Weenie time.